首页|期刊导航|中国药物经济学|转移性前列腺癌患者延长中位无进展生存时间的长期卫生成本和健康获益评价

转移性前列腺癌患者延长中位无进展生存时间的长期卫生成本和健康获益评价OA

Long-Term Value Analysis of Improvements in Median Progression-Free Survival in Metastatic Prostate Cancer

中文摘要英文摘要

目的 对治疗转移性前列腺癌(mPC)的中位无进展生存期(mPFS)延长与长期卫生成本和健康获益的关系进行评价,以呈现此疗效指标改善的长期价值.方法 参照mPC疾病发展进程建立马尔科夫模型,在基础治疗情境下,对mPFS改善与长期卫生成本和健康获益之间的数学联系进行计算与分析,并对主要参数开展敏感性分析.结果 mPC 患者经过治疗后,mPFS每增加1个月,平均可增加0.06个质量调整生命年(QALYs),长期卫生成本变化是动态的,范围从-764.1元到1780.70元,平均271.99元.经评价mPFS每延长1个月所带来的长期价值为5472.95元.敏感性分析显示健康获益的结果较稳健,卫生成本的结果受疾病进展(PD)和无进展生存期(PFS)状态的卫生成本影响较大.结论 通过建立适宜的计算方法,定量化mPC患者治疗的mPFS指标改善的价值,即与长期健康获益和卫生成本的数量关系,有助于支持相关的卫生决策.

Objective To demonstrate the long-term value of median progression-free survival(mPFS)improvement by calculating the relationship between mPFS and long-term healthcare costs and health outcomes in the treatment of metastatic prostate cancer(mPC).Methods A Markov model was developed based on the disease progression of mPC.The mathematical relationship between mPFS improvement and long-term costs and health outcomes were quantified and analyzed under the standard treatment scenario.Sensitivity analyses were conducted on key parameters.Results For mPC patients,with one incremental month of mPFS,quality-adjusted life years(QALYs)will increase by an average of 0.06.Incremental healthcare costs dynamic,ranging from 1780.70 yuan to-764.1 yuan,with an average of 271.99 yuan.The calculated long-term value for each incremental month of mPFS is 5472.95 yuan.Sensitivity analyses revealed robust health outcome results,while healthcare cost were significantly influenced by costs in the progressive disease(PD)and progression-free survival(PFS)states.Conclusion Establishing an appropriate quantitative methodology to assess the long-term value of mPFS improvement in mPC treatment so as to support relevant healthcare decision-making rapidly.

颜毅;陶立波;刘畅;吴瑶;王芳旭;孙爽

北京大学医学部卫生政策与技术评估中心,北京 100191北京大学医学部卫生政策与技术评估中心,北京 100191||北京大学公共卫生学院卫生政策与管理学系,北京 100191北京大学医学部卫生政策与技术评估中心,北京 100191北京大学医学部卫生政策与技术评估中心,北京 100191北京大学医学部卫生政策与技术评估中心,北京 100191北京大学医学部卫生政策与技术评估中心,北京 100191

医药卫生

转移性前列腺癌中位无进展生存期长期价值健康获益卫生成本

Metastatic prostate cancerMedian progression-free survivalLong-term valueClinical benefitMedical costs

《中国药物经济学》 2026 (2)

10-14,5

10.12010/j.issn.1673-5846.2026.02.002

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