基于SkyHydrosat模型的山区洪水模拟复盘研究OA
A modelling assessment of flash floods based on SkyHydrosat model
2024年7月19日,陕西省商洛市金钱河流域暴发山洪灾害,导致下游桥梁发生垮塌.本文旨在通过对此次灾害的模拟复盘,进一步探究山丘区暴雨洪水的产汇流机理以及此次灾害形成机制,相关成果结论可为未来类似暴雨洪水灾害的防治工作提供技术支撑.本研究基于SkyHydrosat模型提出针对山区洪水的精细化模拟复盘策略,以15~30 km2小流域为最小计算单元开展分布式水文模拟,阐明流域洪水形成机理,解析事件发生地严坪村2号大桥洪水来源及组成.经与观测数据进行对比,SkyHydrosat金钱河流域模型模拟精度较高.流域内金井河子流域产流量较大,红岩寺镇断面以上区域产流系数超过0.8;社川河子流域产流系数在0.2~0.4之间;马滩河子流域产流系数在0.4~0.6之间.严坪村2号大桥垮塌处在19日曾出现两次洪峰过程,桥梁垮塌主要受该日21时左右由金井河与社川河叠加洪峰影响.经复盘分析,此次山丘区暴雨洪水持续时间长、上游局部产流量大,子流域洪峰在下游叠加且呈现双峰特征.模型结果验证了SkyHydrosat模型对山区洪水过程进行精细化模拟复盘的能力,该模型具备作为通用工具支撑我国洪水灾害事件调查分析的能力.
On 19th July,2024,one flash flood disaster occurred in the catchment of Jinqianhe River Basin in Shan-gluo City,Shanxi province,which let a highway bridge located closed to the downstream to be collapsed.This study proposes a modelling strategy by using the spatiotemporal distributed hydrological model developed by China Institute of Water Resources and hydropower Research(IWHR)to simulate the rainfall-runoff processes and to digitally explain the reason of the disaster.The Jinqianhe model created in the study showed high performance that both the error of flood peak and time meet the accuracy requests(flood peak error<0.1%,flood peak time error<1h).The distribution of rainfall-runoff coefficient of Jinqian sub-catchment is over 0.8;Shechun sub-catchment is in range from 0.2 to 0.4,and Matan sub-catchment is in range from 0.4 to 0.6.The collapsed highway bridge had suffered 2 flood peaks in 19th July(1,295 m3/s at 13:00pm and 1,431 m3/s at 21:00pm).The bridge failure is attributed to the superposition of 2 peaks.From this case study,the proposed strategy has been approved to be able to be applied for improving the understanding of flash flood disaster at mountainous catchments.
马强;连歆翼;史朝旭;王浩雯;刘昌军;张晓祥
中国水利水电科学研究院,北京 100038中国水利水电科学研究院,北京 100038河海大学 水文水资源学院,江苏 南京 210098河海大学 水文水资源学院,江苏 南京 210098中国水利水电科学研究院,北京 100038河海大学 地理与遥感学院,江苏 南京 211100
建筑与水利
SkyHydrosat模型暴雨洪水灾害复盘致灾机理洪水分析
SkyHydrosatextreme rainfall flooddisaster retrospectivedisaster mechanismflood analysis
《中国水利水电科学研究院学报(中英文)》 2026 (2)
175-187,13
国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFC3006701)
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