低空经济的气候困局、风险演化与协同治理OA

Against the backdrop of global climate change and the transition toward a low-carbon economy,the low-altitude economy—an emerging economic sector integrating advanced manufacturing,intelligent transportation,and digital governance—is confronting un-precedented climate risks.Grounded in complex systems theory,this study constructs a climate risk analytical framework for the low-al-titude economy.By systematically deconstructing its core subsystems—equipment manufacturing,infrastructure,operational support,application scenarios,and policy regulation—the study examines both the interactive mechanisms within internal subsystems and their interactions with social and environmental systems,thereby elucidating the evolutionary mechanism of climate risks and pathways for collaborative governance.The findings reveal that:① Owing to its vertical exposure,energy dependence,and ecological interactivity,the low-altitude economy exhibits significantly greater sensitivity to climate change than traditional economic systems;② Climate change impacts are transmitted through two channels—direct physical impacts and indirect systemic interventions—giving rise to a dy-namic risk evolution characterized by short-term abrupt shocks,medium-term systemic disruptions,and long-term structural transforma-tions.In the short term,extreme weather events lead to service chain breakdowns,supply chain disruptions,and surges in public safety incidents.In the medium term,the contraction of airworthy operating spaces triggers cascading failures across industrial chains,acceler-ated infrastructure aging,and the ineffectiveness of policy instruments.In the long term,shifts in economic corridors result in technolog-ical generational gaps and institutional rigidity.To mitigate these risks,this study proposes a triple-helix dynamic collaborative gover-nance framework centered on"adaptation-synergy-resilience."This framework emphasizes enhancing systemic climate-adaptive gover-nance through dynamic adjustment and technological empowerment,promoting collaborative governance through multi-stakeholder syn-ergy and institutional innovation,and strengthening the resilience of the low-altitude economic system through emergency management and risk prevention.This study aims to provide theoretical support and practical references for the systematic prevention and control of climate risks and the sustainable development of the low-altitude economy.