从新国际经济秩序到后国际经济秩序?:两次危机比较OACHSSCD
From New International Economic Order to Post International Economic Order?:Comparing Two Crisis
现有国际经济秩序经历了两次重大危机.第一次危机源于20世纪70年代的新国际经济秩序运动;第二次危机则是自2017年起特朗普两次执政期间美国对多边体系的背离.两次危机在成因、主要挑战者、诉求和表现形式上存在根本差异,但在反映的利益冲突、经济主权诉求以及秩序固有缺陷等方面又显现出相似性.20世纪70年代的新国际经济秩序运动虽然成功推动发展议题纳入全球治理议程,却未能撼动二战后国际经济秩序的核心架构与发展方向.相较之下,2017年后的这场危机植根于深刻的政治、经济与技术变革背景,具有引发国际秩序重大转型的潜力.尽管一个实质性退出国际安排的霸权国家将带来深远挑战,但过去八十余年间历经金融危机、技术革命和地缘政治冲击仍能不断调适的国际经济秩序本身展现了巨大的韧性,短期内不太可能整体崩塌.可以预见的是,未来将在多个层面出现深度各异、领域不同、形式多样的治理机制,这将使国际经济秩序步入一个更为复杂的阶段.
The existing international economic order has undergone two major crises.The first crisis originated from the New International Economic Order(NIEO)movement of the 1970s;while the United States' departure from the multilateral system,beginning during Trump's first presidential term in 2017,constituted the second crisis.These two crises differ fundamentally in their causes,primary challengers,demands,and manifestations,yet they exhibit similarities in terms of conflicting interests,assertions of economic sovereignty,and inherent flaws within the order itself.Although the NIEO movement succeeded in integrating development issues into the global governance agenda,it failed to alter the foundational structure or trajectory of the established order.In contrast,the post-2017 crisis is rooted in profound political,economic,and technological shifts,possessing the potential to trigger significant transformation of the international order.While a hegemonic power that has substantively withdrawn from international arrangements presents a profound challenge,the international economic order-which over the past eight decades has demonstrated considerable resilience by adapting to financial crises,technological revolutions,and geopolitical upheavals-is unlikely to collapse entirely in short term.Nevertheless,it is foreseeable that governance mechanisms will emerge and evolve at multiple levels,across various domains,and in diverse forms,ushering the international economic order into a more complex phase.
王中美
华东政法大学,上海 201620
社会科学
国际经济秩序危机美国
international economic ordercrisisthe United States
《太平洋学报》 2026 (2)
1-18,18
2023年度国家社科基金重大专项项目(23VMG033)阶段性成果.
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