日美同盟"现代化"探析OACHSSCD
An Analysis of the"Modernization"of the U.S.-Japan Alliance
2021年后,日美开始推动同盟"现代化".这一进程涵盖系列双边与单边举措,通过提升同盟的一体化水平、能力、行动灵活性,强化威慑与应对能力.其特征包括:日本做出"关键军事贡献",日美实现全领域、全环节联合指挥,同盟内可围绕广泛议题随时开展协调.日美推进同盟"现代化"的根本原因在于日美两国的战略目标及路径选择高度一致,次要原因是日本对"美国不再干预本地区事务"的担忧走强.日美推进同盟"现代化"的核心目标是在与中国的竞争中获胜,具体是有效威慑中国与干涉地区事务,增加并高效运用在中国区域拒止圈内的可用战力.同盟"现代化"的实施将增强美国武力干预不同烈度地区事务的能力和威慑能力,奠定美国在亚太构建网格化同盟的基础,增加日本对美国安全政策的影响力.日本对"美国在战时抛弃日本"的担忧、日本社会的心理准备不足,或对同盟"现代化"的效果产生制约.
Following 2021,the U.S.and Japan began to promote the"modernization"of their alliance.This process encompasses a series of bilateral and unilateral initiatives aimed at enhancing the alliance's deterrence and response capabilities by improving its integration,capabilities,and agility.Its characteristics include:Japan making key military contributions,the U.S.and Japan achieving full-domain,full-cycle joint command,and the ability to conduct coordinated actions within the alliance on a wide range of issues at any time.The fundamental reason for the U.S.and Japan advancing alliance"modernization"lies in the high degree of alignment in their strategic objectives and path choices.A secondary reason is the growing concern in Japan about"America no longer intervening in regional affairs."The core objectives of advancing alliance"modernization"are to prevail in competition with China,specifically to effectively deter China and interfere in regional affairs,and to increase and efficiently utilize available combat power within China's anti-access/area denial(A2/AD)bubble.The implementation of alliance"modernization"will enhance the U.S.'s ability to militarily intervene in regional affairs of varying intensities and its deterrence capabilities,lay the foundation for the U.S.to build a networked alliance system in the Asia-Pacific,and increase Japan's influence on U.S.security policies.Japan's concerns about"America abandoning Japan in wartime"and insufficient psychological preparedness within Japanese society may constrain the effectiveness of alliance"modernization".
徐永智
中国现代国际关系研究院,北京,100081
社会科学
日美同盟现代化联合指挥台海日本美国
U.S.-Japan AllianceModernizationJoint CommandTaiwan StraitJapanthe U.S.
《太平洋学报》 2026 (2)
31-46,16
本文受国家社科基金资助.
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