基于MRIO的乌昌石城市群净灰水足迹转移路径研究OA
Study on the Transfer Path of Net Grey Water Footprint in Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi Urban Agglomeration Based on MRIO
地处干旱绿洲区的乌昌石城市群水资源极为短缺且环境用水日益增加,基于多区域投入产出表构建环境多区域投入产出模型,根据乌昌石城市群灰水足迹转移路径揭示产品和服务贸易对城市群环境用水的影响,结果表明:乌昌石城市群多年平均生产灰水足迹达376 亿m3,对水环境影响很大,但生产灰水足迹呈减小趋势,远低于消费灰水足迹;第一产业转入灰水足迹最大,可以有效缓解环境用水和水资源压力;乌昌石城市群净灰水足迹疆内其他区域净转入远高于疆外净转入,环境用水压力在疆内;乌昌石城市群净灰水足迹以昌吉转出和乌鲁木齐转入为主,且灰水足迹的净转入、净转出分别以乌鲁木齐、昌吉为主,石河子则由净转入演变为净转出,乌鲁木齐经济发展间接占用昌吉和石河子环境用水.
The Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi urban agglomeration,located in the arid oasis area,is facing an extremely scarce water resource situ-ation and an increasing demand for environmental water.Based on the multi-regional input-output table,an environmental multi-regional input-output model was constructed to reveal the impact of product and service trade on the environmental water use of the urban agglomera-tion through the grey water footprint transfer path of Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi urban agglomeration.The results show that:The multi-year aver-age grey water footprint of the Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi urban agglomeration reaches 37.6 billion cubic meters,exerting significant impacts on the water environment.However,it is on a decreasing trend and is much lower than the consumption grey water footprint.The first industry has the largest grey water footprint inflow,which can effectively alleviate the pressure on environmental water and water resources.The net grey water footprint inflow from other regions within Xinjiang to the Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi urban agglomeration is much higher than that from regions outside Xinjiang,indicating that the pressure on environmental water use is mainly within Xinjiang.Within the Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi urban agglomeration,the net grey water footprint is mainly transferred from Changji to Urumqi,and the net inflow and outflow of grey water footprint are mainly in Urumqi and Changji respectively.Shihezi has evolved from net inflow to net outflow.The economic development of Urumqi indirectly occupies the environmental water of Changji and Shihezi.
孙建光
新疆财经大学 统计与数据科学学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830012
建筑与水利
净灰水足迹多区域投入产出模型转移路径乌昌石城市群
net grey water footprintmulti-regional input-output modeltransfer pathUrumqi-Changji-Shihezi urban agglomeration
《人民黄河》 2026 (4)
114-119,6
国家社会科学基金资助项目(19BGL186)国家自然科学基金资助项目(71163039)
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