虚拟水贸易对黄河流域城市群水稀缺的影响OA
Impact of Virtual Water Trade on Water Scarcity in Urban Agglomerations in the Yellow River Basin
城市群已成为黄河流域经济社会发展的重要支撑点和增长极.研究核算了黄河流域 5 个国家级城市群总计 71 个城市的蓝水和灰水足迹,采用构建的城市尺度MRIO模型分析了2017 年城市群间和城市群内部虚拟水贸易及其对水资源短缺的影响.结果表明:1)5 个城市群的蓝水和灰水足迹总量分别为 446.8 亿m3和 3 102.8 亿m3,其中中原和山东半岛城市群合计分别占 57.0%和71.2%.2)城市间虚拟蓝水和灰水转移量分别为 245.7 亿m3 和 771.3 亿m3,其中城市群内部转移占主导,占比分别为 76.6%和81.9%;城市群间的转移则相对较少,仅占 23.4%和 18.1%,其中中原和山东半岛城市群是虚拟水的主要输出区域.3)虚拟水转移对不同城市水稀缺的影响存在显著差异.虚拟水贸易虽然在一定程度上缓解了经济发达城市的缺水压力,但是却加剧了欠发达和以农业为主的城市的水稀缺问题.建议以节水增效为目标,优化产业和贸易结构,进一步减缓城市群地区与贸易关联的水稀缺风险,推动水资源管理和可持续利用.
Urban agglomerations become an important support point and growth pole for economic and social development in the Yellow River Basin.This study investigated the blue and grey water footprints of a total of 71 cities in five national urban agglomerations in the basin.A cit-y-scale multi-regional input-output(MRIO)model developed in this study was used to analyze the inter-and intra-urban agglomeration virtu-al water trade in 2017 and its impacts on water scarcity.The results showed that:a)The total blue and grey water footprints of the five urban agglomerations were 44.68 billion m3 and 310.28 billion m3,of which the Central Plains and Shandong Peninsula together accounted for 57.0%and 71.2%,respectively.b)Inter-city transfers of virtual blue water and grey water were 24.57 billion m3 and 77.13 billion m3,re-spectively,with intra-urban agglomeration transfers dominating,accounting for 76.6%and 81.9%,respectively.The transfer between inter-urban agglomerations was relatively low,accounting for only 23.4%and 18.1%,with the Central Plains and Shandong Peninsula being the main export regions for virtual water.c)There were significant differences in the impact of virtual water transfers on water scarcity in different cities.Trade alleviated water scarcity in economically developed cities to some extent,but exacerbated water scarcity in less-developed and agriculturally dominated cities.It is recommended to optimize the industrial and trade structure with the goal of water conservation and efficiency,to further mitigate the risk of trade-related water scarcity,and to promote the management and sustainable use of water resources.
陆中桂;李优然;姜博艺;黄明辉;宋南奇
北京师范大学 环境学院,北京 100875北京农学院 国际学院,北京 102206外交学院 外交学与外事管理系,北京 100012北京师范大学 环境学院,北京 100875||长治市卫生健康委员会,山西 长治 046011北京师范大学 环境学院,北京 100875
建筑与水利
城市群水足迹虚拟水多区域投入产出模型黄河流域
urban agglomerationwater footprintvirtual watermulti-regional input-output modelYellow River Basin
《人民黄河》 2026 (4)
99-106,8
国家自然科学基金资助项目(72050001)
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