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基于前景理论的城际通道内旅客出行选择及实例论证OA

Selection and Example Demonstration of Passenger Travel in Intercity Corridor Based on Prospect Theory

中文摘要英文摘要

为明确带有主观偏好特征的城际旅客出行选择行为,提出一种基于前景理论的出行选择模型.以交通工具的影响因素作为参考点建立前景值函数,进而计算各交通工具的综合前景值.旅客以交通工具的最大前景值作为选择依据,通过Logit出行选择模型对通道内的分担量做出了预估,将此模型运用在西安北客站至机场的城际通道中,经过研究得出各种偏好类型的旅客出行时间与花费,将其设定为参考点.通过此模式更加有效地预测出各种交通工具的分担率,检验了基于前景理论城际旅客出行选择模型的合理性.同时研究了在考虑因子变动情况下,各种交通工具分担率的变化规律.

In order to clarify the travel choice behavior of intercity passengers with subjective preference characteristics,a travel selection model is put forward based on prospect theory.A foreground value function with transport influencing factors as a ref-erence point is established to calculate the comprehensive prospect value of each vehicle.With the maximum prospect value of trans-portation,the share in the channel is estimated through the Logit travel selection model.Using this model in the intercity corridor from Xi'an North Railway Station to the airport,various preferred types of passenger travel time and cost are gotten,designing it as a reference point.Through this model,the sharing rate of the various vehicles is more effectively predicted.The rationality of the mod-el based on prospect theory is tested.Meanwhile,considering the factor variation,the change law of the sharing rate of various vehi-cles is researched.

魏薇;张海;王强;钱若霖;刘佳瑶

陕西工业职业技术大学 咸阳 712000陕西工业职业技术大学 咸阳 712000陕西工业职业技术大学 咸阳 712000||咸阳市黄土力学与灾害防治工程技术研究中心 咸阳 712000陕西工业职业技术大学 咸阳 712000||咸阳市黄土力学与灾害防治工程技术研究中心 咸阳 712000陕西工业职业技术大学 咸阳 712000

交通工程

运输通道出行选择前景理论城际轨道交通

transportation channeltravel choiceprospect theoryintercity rail transit

《计算机与数字工程》 2026 (1)

28-32,5

陕西省自然科学基金项目"城市轨道交通客流与土地利用时空协同研究"(编号:2022JQ-455)资助.

10.3969/j.issn.1672-9722.2026.01.006

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