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一种基于ISSA-SVR融合模型的战时装备器材预测方法OA

A Wartime Equipment Spare Parts Forecasting Method Based on the ISSA-SVR Fusion Model

中文摘要英文摘要

装备器材的精准预测是保障军事装备和部队持续作战能力的关键.战时环境的预测面临历史样本稀缺、非线性强、不确定性高等挑战.提出ISSA-SVR融合模型:构建装备损伤指标体系,采用模糊综合评价量化指标;基于CTGAN增强小样本数据;在此基础上,改进SSA算法,融入纵横交叉与精英保留策略;实验表明,ISSA-SVR模型预测最大相对误差仅为3%,且精度与稳定性显著优于传统方法,可以为战时装备预测提供技术支撑.

Accurate prediction of equipment spare parts is crucial to ensure military equipment availability and sustained combat capability.However,current wartime forecasting faces challenges including scarce historical samples,highly nonlinear patterns,and significant uncertainty.To address these challenges,this study proposes an ISSA-SVR fusion model with three key steps:First,constructing a damage indicator system quantified via fuzzy comprehensive evaluation.Second,augmenting limited datasets using Conditional Tabular Generative Adversarial Networks(CTGAN).Third,enhancing the Sparrow Search Algorithm(SSA)with cross-directional crossover and elite retention strategies.Experimental results demonstrate a maximum relative error of merely 3%,with prediction accuracy and stability that significantly outperforming outperforms methods.This approach provides effective technical support for wartime equipment spare parts forecasting.

徐一鸣;杜华;刘银良

北方自动控制技术研究所,太原 030006北方自动控制技术研究所,太原 030006北方自动控制技术研究所,太原 030006

军事科技

装备损伤装备器材消耗预测麻雀搜索支持向量回归生成对抗网络

equipment damagespare partsconsumption forecastingISSASVRCTGAN

《火力与指挥控制》 2026 (3)

25-34,10

10.3969/j.issn.1002-0640.2026.03.004

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