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一种复杂系统评估指标冗余识别和去除方法OA

An Approach for Identifying and Eliminating Redundant Indicators in Complex System Evaluation

中文摘要英文摘要

指标体系冗余是复杂系统评估中的关键挑战,针对现有方法忽视因果机制及冗余阈值依赖的问题,提出了基于马尔可夫毯的指标约简思路,构建了融合最小冗余性准则与最大信息保留准则的优化目标,设计了马尔可夫毯识别算法及指标约简遗传算法,解决了指标冗余识别和去除背后的组合优化问题.实验结果表明,所提方法具有合理性,在约简率、稳定性和平均解释率实现了良好的平衡,且在冗余识别的准确性上较MIC-MAC和因果熵等方法有较大提升.

Redundancy in indicator systems is a critical challenge in complex system evaluation.To address the limitations of existing methods that overlook causal mechanisms and rely on redundancy thresholds,a Markov blanket-based approach to indicator reduction is proposed.An optimization objective integrating the minimum redundancy criterion with the maximum information retention criterion is constructed,and both a Markov blanket identification algorithm and a genetic algorithm for indicator reduction are designed to solve the underlying combinatorial optimization problem of redundancy identification and elimination.Experimental results demonstrate the rationality of the proposed method,showing that it achieves a well-balanced trade-off among reduction rate,stability,and interpretability,and yields substantial improvements in redundancy identification accuracy compared with methods such as MIC-MAC and causal entropy.

林晗;耿梦影;季明;黄其旺;卜先锦

军事科学院,北京 100091国防科技大学,长沙 410073军事科学院,北京 100091军事科学院,北京 100091军事科学院,北京 100091

自科综合

综合评价指标体系指标约简冗余识别因果推断

comprehensive evaluationindicator systemindicator reductionredundancy identifica-tioncausal inference

《火力与指挥控制》 2026 (3)

18-24,7

军事类研究生基金资助课题(JY2023C004)

10.3969/j.issn.1002-0640.2026.03.003

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