首页|期刊导航|华中农业大学学报(社会科学版)|气候冲击、农户家庭分工与非农就业质量

气候冲击、农户家庭分工与非农就业质量OACHSSCD

Climate Shocks,Farm Household Labor Allocation,and Non-Farm Employment Quality

中文摘要英文摘要

日益加剧的气候变化增加了降水异常发生频率,给居民福利带来了不利影响,而家庭内部劳动力重新配置被视为缓解气候变化带来负面影响的有效策略.尽管现有研究广泛讨论了气候变化对劳动供给的影响,然而有关气候变化与家庭两性劳动分工的探讨依然稀缺.本文基于Tobit模型考察了气候变化引致的旱涝冲击对农户家庭分工的影响,检验了其中的影响机制并考察了旱涝冲击对农户非农就业质量的影响.研究结果表明,旱涝冲击深化了农户家庭夫妻双方的分工程度,加剧了性别劳动不平等.具体表现为,在面临旱涝冲击时,丈夫会减少农业劳动供给而增加非农劳动时长;妻子会在一定程度上弥补丈夫在农业劳动上的缺失,增加务农时长;夫妻双方闲暇时长均不同程度地减少.异质性分析结果表明,旱涝冲击对年龄大的夫妻、资产低的家庭以及水利设施基础差地区的农户劳动配置影响更大.拓展分析发现,旱涝冲击通过影响家庭福利进而影响家庭劳动配置状况;而社会规范效应和土地安全效应在旱涝冲击对夫妻双方劳动配置作用时会产生差异化影响,从而深化农户家庭分工.进一步分析结果表明,旱涝冲击对农户非农就业质量具有显著负向影响,而家庭分工的深化加剧了这一负面效应.

Intensifying climate change has raised the frequency of precipitation anomalies,ad-versely affecting household welfare,whereas the reallocation of labor within households is viewed as an effective strategy to mitigate these negative impacts.Existing studies have extensively examined the im-pacts of climate change on labor supply,but research on how climate change affects intrahousehold gen-dered division of labor remains limited.Based on the Tobit model,this paper examines the effects of cli-mate change-induced drought and flood shocks on household labor allocation,explores the underlying mechanism,and investigates their impact on non-farm employment quality.The results show that the drought and flood shocks exacerbate the specialization of labor between husband and wife.Specifically,in response to such shocks,husbands reduce their agricultural labor while increasing non-farm work hours,whereas wives offset part of the reduction by contributing more to agricultural work;both spouses experience a decrease in leisure time.Heterogeneity analysis shows that the impact of drought and flood shocks is stronger among older couples,households with low assets,and regions with poor irri-gation infrastructure.Further analysis reveals that drought and flood shocks influence household labor al-location by affecting household welfare,while social norms and land security effects exert differential im-pacts on spousal labor allocations,thus deepening intrahousehold division of labor.Additional findings show that these shocks have a significant negative impact on the quality of non-farm employment,and the intensified intrahousehold labor division further amplifies this adverse effect.The results of this study help clarify the pathways of intrahousehold labor reallocation under climate change,and offer insights for promoting gender equality in household labor allocation.

吴翌琳;刘梨进

中国人民大学应用统计科学研究中心 北京,100872||中国人民大学统计学院 北京,100872中国人民大学统计学院 北京,100872

管理科学

旱涝冲击家庭分工就业质量非农就业性别劳动平等

drought and flood shockshousehold labor allocationemployment qualitynon-farm employmentgender labor equality

《华中农业大学学报(社会科学版)》 2026 (2)

86-99,14

国家统计局重大统计专项"高质量充分就业指标体系研究"(2025ZX10).

10.13300/j.cnki.hnwkxb.2026.02.008

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