新一轮农地确权政策与家庭粮食生产OACHSSCD
The New Round of Farmland Titling and Household Grain Production
如何通过农村制度改革平衡保障粮食安全与生产要素配置之间的矛盾成为政策实施必须考虑的问题.基于2009-2017年全国农村固定观察点的面板数据,将新一轮农地确权政策视为准自然实验,构建多期双重差分模型,实证检验了农地确权颁证政策对家庭种植结构中粮食作物占比的影响及其作用机制.研究结果表明:新一轮农地确权政策提升了粮食作物播种面积占比和收入占比;机制分析发现,政策主要通过农地流转促进效应和要素替代效应来促进农地"趋粮化",长期投资促进效应和农地租金挤出效应并未改变政策使农地"趋粮化"的总体效应;异质性分析发现,对于土地经营规模越大、所属村庄劳动力外流比例更高、拥有社会资本更少的家庭农户,政策对于提高其种植结构中粮食作物播种面积占比和收入占比的影响更强.
Balancing food security with the efficient allocation of production factors through rural in-stitutional reform has become a key issue that must be considered in policy implementation.Based on panel data from the National Fixed Observation Points from 2009 to 2017,this study treats the new round of farmland titling policy as a quasi-natural experiment and constructs a multi-period difference-in-difference model to empirically test its impact on the share of grain crops in household cropping structure and the underlying mechanism.The empirical results show that the new round of farmland titling policy has increased both the share of grain crop planting area and the share of income from grain crops in house-hold agricultural production.Mechanism analysis finds that the policy mainly promotes the grain-oriented use of farmland through the farmland transfer promotion effect and the factor substitution effect,while the long-term investment promotion effect and the farmland rent crowding-out effect have not altered the overall grain-oriented impact of the policy.Heterogeneity analysis further reveals that the policy effect is stronger for households with larger farmland scale,those located in villages with higher levels of labor outmigration,and those possessing less social capital.The findings of this study provide useful insights for the government to achieve the dual goals of securing property rights over agricultural production fac-tors and safeguarding food production through institutional reform.
陈国富;丁珂
南开大学经济学院,天津 300071南开大学经济学院,天津 300071
管理科学
农地确权粮食生产农地流转要素配置
farmland titlinggrain productionfarmland transferfactors allocation
《华中农业大学学报(社会科学版)》 2026 (2)
51-63,13
国家社会科学基金重大项目"马克思主义视域下技术变迁的动力、机制与政策研究"(19ZDA047).
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