首页|期刊导航|北京交通大学学报|韧性视角下城轨交通关键车站识别与恢复顺序优化

韧性视角下城轨交通关键车站识别与恢复顺序优化OA

Critical station identification and recovery sequence optimization in urban rail transit under a resilience perspective

中文摘要英文摘要

针对城市轨道交通网络因车站失效导致的运营中断风险问题,提出一种基于加权耦合映像格子(Coupled Map Lattice,CML)模型与改进模拟退火算法的系统韧性优化方法.首先,综合考虑车站度值、站间客流与进出站客流,构建加权CML模型以准确模拟车站失效后的城市轨道交通网络的级联失效过程,并基于此过程计算结构性能和服务性能指标以量化系统韧性;然后,分别建立以最小化韧性累积损失为目标的关键车站识别模型和以最大化恢复效率为目标的失效车站恢复顺序优化模型,为提升求解算法的鲁棒性和搜索效率,设计引入动态退火率与混合扰动策略的改进模拟退火算法进行求解.最后,以武汉地铁网络为案例进行优化研究.研究结果表明:相较于传统的基于单一指标(度值、区间客流或进出站客流)识别方法,所提关键车站识别模型与算法识别出的关键车站(多为具有大客流的非换乘站)在失效时引起的网络性能下降幅度高出7%~13%;恢复顺序优化模型和算法可使系统恢复效率提升3%~7%,验证了所提方法在提升网络抗毁性与恢复能力方面的有效性.

To address operational disruption risks in urban rail transit networks arising from station fail-ures,this study proposes a systematic resilience optimization methodology based on a weighted coupled map lattice(CML)model integrated with an improved simulated annealing algorithm.First,by comprehensively incorporating station degree,inter-station passenger flows,and boarding/alight-ing volumes,a weighted CML model is constructed to accurately simulate cascading failure processes following station disruptions.Structural and service performance metrics derived from this simulation are then employed to quantify system resilience.Subsequently,two optimization models are estab-lished:A critical station identification model aimed at minimizing cumulative resilience loss,and a re-covery sequence optimization model for failed stations designed to maximize restoration efficiency.To enhance algorithmic robustness and search efficiency,an improved simulated annealing algorithm fea-turing dynamic cooling rates and hybrid perturbation strategies is developed.Finally,the Wuhan Metro network serves as a case study for empirical validation.Results demonstrate that,compared to traditional single-indicator-based methods(such as those relying solely on station degree,inter-station flow,or boarding/alighting flow),the critical stations identified by the proposed model(primarily high-flow non-transfer stations)induce 7%to 13%greater network performance degradation upon failure.Moreover,the recovery sequence optimization model and algorithm yield a 3%to 7%improvement in restoration efficiency,validating the effectiveness of the proposed approach in enhancing network ro-bustness and recovery capacity.

刘杰;李周宇;石庄彬;王宇浩;何明卫

昆明理工大学 交通工程学院,昆明 650031||剑桥大学 工学院,剑桥 CB2 1PZ昆明理工大学 交通工程学院,昆明 650031昆明理工大学 交通工程学院,昆明 650031昆明理工大学 交通工程学院,昆明 650031昆明理工大学 交通工程学院,昆明 650031

交通工程

交通运输规划与管理关键车站识别恢复顺序优化耦合映像格子网络韧性

transportation planning and managementcritical station identificationrecovery sequence optimizationcoupled map latticenetwork resilience

《北京交通大学学报》 2026 (1)

95-103,9

国家自然科学基金(52102378)云南省基础研究计划(202401AT070382,202301AU070052)欧洲地平线玛丽居里行动计划(101034337) National Natural Science Foundation of China(52102378)General Project of Basic Research Program of Yunnan Province(202401AT070382,202301AU070052)European Union's Horizon Research and Innovation Program under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie(101034337)

10.11860/j.issn.1673-0291.20250004

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