首页|期刊导航|中国癌症防治杂志|结直肠癌术后静脉血栓栓塞症风险预测模型研究进展

结直肠癌术后静脉血栓栓塞症风险预测模型研究进展OA

Research advances in risk prediction models for venous thromboembolism following colorectal cancer surgery

中文摘要英文摘要

静脉血栓栓塞症(venous thromboembolism,VTE)作为结直肠癌(colorectal cancer,CRC)术后严重并发症,可显著增加患者病死率及医疗负担.随着CRC手术复杂化及辅助治疗强度提升,术后VTE发病率持续攀升,而我国三级医院规范预防率低,凸显了精准化风险评估体系的迫切需求.本文系统综述CRC术后VTE形成的危险因素、风险预测模型的研究进展及其临床应用情况,旨在为优化CRC围手术期VTE防治策略提供循证依据.

Venous thromboembolism(VTE)constitutes a severe postoperative complication of colorectal cancer(CRC),significantly increases patient mortality and healthcare burden.In China,the incidence of post-CRC VTE reaches 11.2%within one month,while adherence to guideline-compliant prophylaxis rates remains low at 10.3%.This highlights the critical need for precise risk assessment tools.While widely utilized generic models such as Caprini may lack CRC specificity,and the Khorana score shows moderate discrimination(C-statistic 0.7),emerging CRC-specific models(e.g.,CRC-VTE score,AUC 0.72)and machine learning approaches(e.g.,XGBoost,AUC up to 0.908)demonstrate better performance.Nonetheless,the majority of these models are derived from single-center retrospective data,which limits their generalizability.Consequently,there is a pressing necessity to develop and validate the dynamic population-tailored prediction models to optimize perioperative VTE prevention and reduce related morbidity and mortality.This review systemati-cally examines the risk factors associated with VTE formation following CRC surgery,synthesizes research progress and clinical applications of predictive models,aims to provide evidence-based support for optimizing perioperative VTE prevention and treatment strategies in CRC.

刘丹;周斌;施云杰;钱懿轶

650033 昆明 昆明医科大学第二附属医院科研部650033 昆明 昆明医科大学第二附属医院科研部650033 昆明 昆明医科大学第二附属医院科研部650033 昆明 昆明医科大学第二附属医院科研部

医药卫生

结直肠癌静脉血栓栓塞症风险预测模型危险因素机器学习

Colorectal cancerVenous thromboembolismRisk prediction modelRisk factorsMachine learning

《中国癌症防治杂志》 2026 (1)

115-121,7

昆明医科大学一流学科团队建设项目(2024XKTDPY21)

10.3969/j.issn.1674-5671.2026.01.14

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