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数字经济对种植业碳排放的影响OA

The Impact of Digital Economy on Carbon Emissions from the Planting Industry

中文摘要英文摘要

探究数字经济对种植业碳排放的内在影响机制有利于促进种植业低碳转型.文章选取我国 30 个省区市(除西藏和港澳台地区)的面板数据,分析数字经济在种植业社会再生产全过程中的作用,并运用固定效应回归模型、中介效应模型、门槛效应模型实证考察数字经济与种植业碳排放之间的内在联系.结果表明:数字经济显著抑制种植业碳排放,并存在明显的区域异质性和碳源异质性,在中部地区、西部地区、粮食主产区、陡峭地区的抑制效果较好,对化肥、农药、农膜、翻耕的减排效果较好;中介效应结果表明,数字经济主要通过推动规模化经营和涉农金融发展实现碳减排,且这种抑制效应受当地数字经济发展水平影响;门槛效应结果表明,数字经济对种植业碳排放的影响呈现非线性特征.当数字经济发展水平处于初级阶段,其对种植业碳排放具有抑制作用;随着发展水平进入中级阶段,数字经济的进一步推进反而会导致种植业碳排放增加;而当发展阶段迈入更高水平阶段时,其对种植业碳排放的减排效应再次显现.因此,可从加大农村地区数字基础设施投入、严格控制碳排放量、推动规模化种植、加强区域协调与合作 4 个方面制定政策.

To explore the internal impact mechanism of the digital economy on carbon emissions from the planting industry is conducive to promoting the low-carbon transition of the planting industry.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities(directly under the central government)in China(excluding Xizang Autonomous Region,Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan regions)from 2011 to 2023,this paper analyzed the role of the digital economy in the whole process of social reproduction from the planting industry,and used the fixed-effect regression model,mediation effect model,and threshold effect model to empirically examine the internal relationship between the digital economy and carbon emissions.The results showed that:the digital economy significantly inhibited carbon emissions from the planting industry,with distinct regional heterogeneity and carbon source heterogeneity,the inhibition effect was favorable in the central region,western region,major grain-producing areas and hilly areas,and the emission reduction effect performed well in terms of chemical fertilizers,pesticides,agricultural plastic films and tillage;the mediation effect results indicated that the digital economy achieved carbon emission reduction mainly by promoting large-scale operation and the development of agriculture-related finance,and this inhibition effect was affected by the local development level of the digital economy;the threshold effect results indicated that the impact of the digital economic development on carbon emissions from the planting industry exhibited nonlinear characteristics.In the early stage of digital economic development,it inhibited carbon emissions from the planting industry.However,as development progressed to the intermediate stage,further advancement of the digital economy led to an increase in carbon emissions from the planting industry.When the digital economy entered a higher advanced stage,the emission reduction effect on the carbon emissions from planting industry re-emerged.Therefore,policies should be formulated in the following four aspects,such as increasing investment in digital infrastructure in rural areas,strictly controlling carbon emissions,promoting large-scale planting,and enhancing regional coordination and cooperation.

赵茂林;高玉雯

安徽财经大学 经济学院,安徽 蚌埠 233030安徽财经大学 经济学院,安徽 蚌埠 233030

管理科学

数字经济碳排放种植业区域异质性碳源异质性

digital economycarbon emissionsplanting industryregional heterogeneitycarbon source heterogeneity

《现代农业》 2026 (1)

86-101,16

安徽省哲学社会科学规划一般项目"建党以来中国共产党反贫困思想研究"(AHSKF2021D13).

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