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生态韧性与经济高质量发展的时序演化及适配性分析OA

The Temporal Evolution and Adaptability Analysis of Ecological Resilience and High-Quality Economic Development

中文摘要英文摘要

生态韧性和经济高质量发展的现状及其适配水平对于促进区域高质量发展、实现生态经济协同发展具有重要意义.文章基于 2010-2023 年我国 30 个省区市(除西藏和港澳台地区)的面板数据,构建生态韧性和经济高质量发展指标体系,运用熵权法分析二者的时序演变特征,并进一步运用综合适配模型、核密度估计法和 Dagum 基尼系数法分析二者适配水平的时空规律.结果表明:2010-2023 年,我国生态韧性综合得分及其子维度得分均呈上升趋势,经济高质量发展综合得分及其子维度得分呈现上升趋势,经济发展潜力成为经济高质量发展短板;生态韧性和经济高质量发展适配水平持续提升,空间分化特征显著;在动态演进方面,我国生态韧性与经济高质量发展适配水平整体提升;在区域差异方面,区域差距缩小,区域均衡性持续提升,区域内部呈现东部>西部>中部>东北地区的格局,区域间差异仍是区域差异的主要来源,东部地区与其他地区的差异是导致区域间差异的主要因素,超变密度贡献率最小且整体呈现下降趋势.据此,提出注重生态文明建设、释放经济发展潜力、实施区域差异化发展路径等政策建议,以期推动生态和经济协同发展.

The current status of ecological resilience and high-quality economic development,as well as their coordination adaptation level,are of great significance for advancing high-quality regional development and achieving the coordinated development of ecological and economic systems.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities(directly under the central government)in China(excluding Xizang Autonomous Region,Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan regions)from 2010 to 2023,this paper constructed the evaluation index systems for ecological resilience and high-quality economic development,adopted the entropy weight method to analyze the temporal evolution characteristics of the two systems,and further explored the spatiotemporal patterns of their adaptation level by using the comprehensive adaptation model,kernel density estimation and Dagum Gini coefficient method.The results showed that:from 2010 to 2023,both the comprehensive score and sub-dimensional scores of China's ecological resilience presented an upward trend,and the same trend was observed for the comprehensive score and sub-dimensional scores of high-quality economic development,with economic development potential becoming the short slab restricting high-quality economic development;the adaptation level of ecological resilience and high-quality economic development rose steadily with significant spatial differentiation characteristics.In terms of dynamic evolution,the overall adaptation level between China's ecological resilience and high-quality economic development was improved;in terms of regional differences,the overall regional gap was narrowed,and the regional balance degree continued to rise.The intra-regional development showed that the eastern region>western region>central region>northeastern region,and inter-regional disparity remained the primary source of the overall regional disparity,with the gap between the eastern region and other regions being the key factor leading to inter-regional disparity,and its contribution rate of transvariation density was the lowest and showed a downward trend on the whole.Accordingly,this paper put forward policy recommendations including strengthening the construction of an ecological civilization,unlocking the potential for economic development and implementing regionally differentiated development strategies,so as to promote the coordinated development of ecology and economy.

武玲鑫;唐坤;马慧慧;斯钦孟和;胡可欣;云雨欣;侯智惠

内蒙古大学 经济管理学院,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010021||内蒙古自治区农牧业科学院,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010031江苏省灌南县农业技术推广中心,江苏 连云港 222500江苏省灌南县农业技术推广中心,江苏 连云港 222500内蒙古自治区农牧业科学院,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010031内蒙古自治区农牧业科学院,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010031呼和浩特市中级人民法院,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010020内蒙古自治区农牧业科学院,内蒙古 呼和浩特 010031

管理科学

生态韧性经济高质量发展时序演化适配性分析

ecological resiliencehigh-quality economic developmenttemporal evolutionadaptability analysis

《现代农业》 2026 (1)

66-85,20

中国工程院战略研究与咨询项目"西部地区乡村全面振兴战略研究(第二期)"(2025-PP-12).

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