重塑家庭经济安全网:长期护理保险对家庭经济韧性的影响OACHSSCD
Reshaping the Family Economic Safety Net:The Impact of Long-term Care Insurance on Family Economic Resilience
在人口老龄化日益严峻且养老需求剧增的背景下,探讨长期护理保险能否增强家庭经济韧性具有重要的理论价值与现实意义.基于中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)2013、2015、2017和2019年数据,利用渐进双重差分方法(DID)考察长期护理保险对家庭经济韧性的影响.研究发现,长期护理保险实施显著提升家庭经济韧性,相较于未参保家庭,参保家庭经济韧性提升0.03个单位.这一提升效应在农村家庭、低资产家庭、低人力资本家庭及高龄家庭中更为凸显.机制分析表明,长期护理保险可有效增加家庭收入,具体而言,参保家庭总收入增加约24781元,家庭人均收入增加约5583元;同时可显著缓解家庭流动性约束,参保家庭流动性约束下降约10.5%.拓展性研究显示,长期护理保险还能有效降低家庭贫困脆弱性,这一结论进一步佐证了其对家庭经济韧性的促进效应,丰富了其减贫效应的实证研究.研究拓展了长期护理保险影响效应的研究范畴,并为如何通过长期护理保险提升家庭福利水平提供了科学依据与理论参考.
In the context of rising population ageing and increasing demand for elderly care,there are significant theoretical and practical values in investigating whether long-term care insurance can enhance family economic resilience.This study utilizes the difference-in-differences(DID)method,drawing upon data from the China Household Finance Survey(CHFS)spanning the years 2013,2015,2017,and 2019,to examine the impact of long-term care insurance on family economic resilience.Findings reveal that the implementation of long-term care insurance significantly boosts family economic resilience,with insured families experiencing an increase of approximately 0.03 units compared to uninsured families.Specifically,the policy's economic resilience-enhancing effect is more pronounced for rural,low-asset,low-human-capital,and senior households.Mechanistic analysis suggests that long-term care insurance effectively increases family income,with insured families seeing a total income increase of about ¥24781 and a per capita income increase of approximately ¥5583.Concurrently,it significantly alleviates family liquidity constraints,with insured families experiencing a reduction of about 10.5%in liquidity constraints.The extended research indicates that long-term care insurance also effectively reduces household poverty vulnerability,further corroborating its positive impact on family economic resilience.This study broadens the scope of research on the effects of long-term care insurance and provides scientific evidence and theoretical reference for how to enhances family welfare levels through long-term care insurance.
张伟科;范宏霞
四川大学 公共管理学院,四川 成都 610065四川大学 公共管理学院,四川 成都 610065
社会科学
长期护理保险家庭经济韧性贫困脆弱性双重差分方法家庭流动性约束
long-term care insurancefamily economic resiliencepoverty vulnerabilitydifference-in-differences methodfamily liquidity constraints
《人口与经济》 2026 (2)
117-129,13
国家社会科学基金后期资助重点项目"家庭福利增进新策:长期护理保险的多维效应与路径优化研究"(24FGLA006).
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