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基于随机森林预测的手机多品类批量订货决策OA

Batch decision-making for mobile phone products based on Random Forest prediction

中文摘要英文摘要

数据驱动技术的兴起,为破解市场需求快速变化引发的高库存成本、低周转率等难题提供了新路径.本研究采用数据驱动随机森林回归预测方法,基于历史销售数据及关键影响因素挖掘,实现手机多品类市场需求量预测;同时结合经济订货批量模型,在成本约束条件下分析多品类组合的总成本与利润,最终提出以利润最大化为目标的最佳订货批量决策方案.

The rise of data-driven technology brings about new solution to problems such as high inventory costs and low turnover rates caused by rapidly changing market demands.Based on the Random Forest prediction method within data-driv-en approaches,we conduct batch decision-making for mobile phone products.Leveraging big data analytics,we mined histor-ical sales data and influencing factors of mobile phone products,processed the data,and transformed sales data into demand data.By constructing a Random Forest regression decision model,we can predict future mobile phone demand.Simultane-ously,by analyzing the total costs and profits of various product combinations under the Economic Order Quantity model,we can determine the order quantity that maximizes profit.The value of this paper lies in using large-scale data to build a Ran-dom Forest regression prediction model and providing the optimal order quantity for profit maximization under given cost constraints based on the prediction results.

易东波;王天奇;胡启帆

江西水利电力大学 工商管理学院,江西南昌 330029江西水利电力大学 工商管理学院,江西南昌 330029江西水利电力大学 工商管理学院,江西南昌 330029

管理科学

手机产品随机森林回归销量预测批量决策

mobile phone productsRandom Forest regressionsales predictionbatch decision-making

《江西水利电力大学学报》 2026 (1)

80-87,8

江西省高校人文社会科学研究项目(GL21117)

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