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基于融合理查德方程与弧垂模型的树障风险预测OA

Tree Barrier Risk Prediction Based on Integration of Richard Equation and Sag Model

中文摘要英文摘要

为了应对植被生长对输电线路造成的安全隐患,选取北方某地区电力线路及典型供电走廊植被样本进行系统分析.首先,通过整合输电导体热力学形变方程,量化不同气象条件下导线的最大弛度变化特征,继而构建输配通道三维空间安全裕度评估体系.其次,基于Richards生长函数构建落叶松生长模型,可准确推算目标区域植被在特定生长期的冠层发育趋势.最后,通过动态模拟植被生长与电力线不同气象条件下状态的时空耦合关系,构建树障预警模型,实现了输电廊道植被风险的可视化预警与量化评价.该方法可有效防范因植被侵限与线路形变导致的放电事故,为电网系统的可靠性管理提供了技术支撑.

In order to deal with the safety risks caused by vegetation growth to transmission lines,it selects vegetation samples of pow-er lines and typical power supply corridors in some area in the north for systematic analysis.By integrating the thermodynamic deforma-tion equation of the transmission conductor,it quantifies the maximum relaxation change characteristics of the wire under different meteorological conditions,and then constructs the three-dimensional space safety margin evaluation system of the transmission and dis-tribution channels.Based on the Richards growth function,it can accurately calculate the canopy development trend of the vegetation in the target area in the specific growth period.By dynamically simulating the spatial-temporal coupling relationship between vegetation growth and the state under different meteorological conditions of power lines,it constructs the tree barrier warning model,so which realizes the visual warning and quantitative evaluation of vegetation risk in the transmission corridor.The method effectively prevents the discharge accident caused by the vegetation intrusion limit and the line deformation,and provides the technical support for the reli-ability management of the power grid system.

王志佳;兰剑;赵义松;王飞鸣;陈浩然

国能康平发电有限公司,辽宁 沈阳 110500中国电力科学研究院有限公司,北京 102206国网辽宁省电力有限公司电力科学研究院,辽宁 沈阳 110006国网辽宁省电力有限公司电力科学研究院,辽宁 沈阳 110006沈阳农业大学信息与电气工程学院,辽宁 沈阳 110866

信息技术与安全科学

输电线路树障风险弧垂预测理查德方程树障预警模型

transmission linetree barrier riskarc vertical predictionRichard equationtree barrier warning model

《东北电力技术》 2026 (3)

20-25,30,7

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