土地流转对农业碳排放影响的实证研究OA

To explore the impact of factors related to land transfer on agricultural carbon emissions and facilitate the low-carbon transformation of agriculture,this study conducts an empirical analysis using relevant data from 2010 to 2024,combined with the ADF unit root test and OLS regression.The results show that:the land transfer rate is a core and significant factor inhibiting agricultural carbon emissions,and each 1-unit increase in the land transfer rate can significantly reduce carbon emissions,which passes the test at the 1%significance level,confirming the emission reduction effect of centralized resource utilization and optimized farming practices after land transfer;the land transfer scale(and its interaction term with technology types)slightly increases carbon emissions in the short term,but the impact magnitude is relatively limited;the emission reduction effect of technology types has not yet been fully manifested,and the inhibitory effect of policy subsidies on carbon emissions has not reached statistical significance,both of which are related to the current insufficient technology matching and lack of subsidy accuracy.Based on these findings,this study puts forward suggestions including promoting the orderly land transfer with supporting low-carbon management,optimizing the low-carbon connection of transfer scale,accurately matching the supply of low-carbon technologies,and upgrading the subsidy incentive mechanism,so as to provide references for the low-carbon development of agriculture.