我国从RCEP成员国进口矿产品的潜力评价OACHSSCD
Evaluation of China's Potential for Importing Mineral Products from RCEP Member Countries
我国作为全球主要的矿产资源消费国,原油、铁矿石等均具有较高的进口依赖性.为分析我国从区域全面经济伙伴关系协定(RCEP)成员国进口矿产品的贸易潜力,文章基于2011-2020年的贸易数据,计算比较优势与贸易互补性指标,量化分析贸易关系的强度和潜力.运用全局主成分分析法评估了RCEP成员国的贸易便利化程度,并将其与经济规模、地理距离、国土面积、人口等因素结合,融入随机前沿引力模型框架进行实证分析.研究发现:我国的经济规模、人口增长和国土面积对矿产品进口有显著促进作用,而距离较远及出口国人口多则构成阻碍.提升基础设施、优化海关环境及签署自由贸易协定能有效提升贸易效率,而复杂的政府规制、高关税及金融和电子商务发展不足则会抑制贸易效率.
As a major global consumer of mineral resources,China has a high import dependence on crude oil,iron ore,and other commodities.To analyze China's trade potential for importing mineral products from Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)member countries,this study calculates comparative advantage and trade complementarity indicators based on trade data from 2011-2020,quantifying the intensity and potential of trade relationships.The global principal component analysis is used to evaluate the trade facilitation levels of RCEP member countries,which are then integrated with factors such as economic scale,geographic distance,land area,and population into a stochastic frontier gravity model framework for empirical analysis.The study finds that China's economic scale,population growth,and land area significantly promote mineral imports,while the long geographical distance and the large population in exporting countries pose obstacles.Enhancing infrastructure,optimizing the customs environment,and signing free trade agreements can effectively improve trade efficiency,while complex government regulations,high tariffs,and underdeveloped finance and e-commerce will restrain trade efficiency.
江勇;李莉;谭卫;朱清;雷涯邻
中国地质大学(北京),北京 100083中国地质大学(北京),北京 100083国家金融监督管理总局万州监管分局,重庆 404000中国地质调查局国际矿业研究中心,北京 100037||中国矿业报社,北京 100037中国地质大学(北京),北京 100083
管理科学
矿产品贸易潜力随机前沿引力模型贸易非效率模型RCEP
mineral productstrade potentialstochastic frontier gravity modeltrade inefficiency modelRCEP
《中国国土资源经济》 2026 (3)
44-56,13
教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目"深海矿产资源绿色开发科技创新政策研究"(24YJAZH052)国家社科基金重大专项(24VHQ005)
评论