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泛安全化环境对国家治理的影响OACHSSCD

The Impact of the Pervasive Security Environment on National Governance:The Case of Germany's Industrial Policy Transformation

中文摘要英文摘要

气候变化、地缘政治与技术竞争重塑了国家的安全负外部性环境.在全球集体性泛安全化背景下,国家治理已超越传统安全范畴.本文将外部性理论的"成本内部化"逻辑与安全化理论的"议题建构"逻辑进行耦合,以德国工业政策转型为具体案例,提出"内部化"是连接宏观环境压力与微观政策调整的关键机制.在"安全成本显性化—政策防御化—目标复合化"的趋势下,泛安全化环境推动国际秩序从相互依存向"安全化陷阱均衡"演化,国家在平衡安全与发展的过程中实现泛安全化效应的内部化.在泛安全化背景下,国家应主动将外部风险转化为推动产业转型和技术创新的内生动力,构建多元且韧性的供应链体系,强化自主创新,加速绿色低碳转型,以实现经济安全与全球竞争优势的有机统一.中国工业因高度嵌入全球供应链而面临泛安全化挑战,可借鉴德国的工业转型经验.从被动防御转向主动塑造安全环境,形成全产业链风险防控体系;以市场需求推动技术突破,避免泛安全化"内卷";加强前沿领域国际合作,提升全球绿色经济治理的制度性话语权.

Climate change,geopolitics,and technological competition have reshaped the external security challenges facing nations.Against the backdrop of global collective securitization,state governance has transcended traditional security frameworks.By integrating the"cost internalization"logic of externalities theory with the"issue construction"logic of securitization theory,and using Germany's industrial policy transformation as a case study,this paper argues that"internalization"serves as the key mechanism linking macro-environmental pressures to micro-level policy adjustments.The securitization environment drives the evolution of the international order from interdependence toward a"securitization trap equilibrium"through the mechanism of"explicit security costs—defensive policies—complex objectives".Nations internalize securitization effects while balancing security and development.Against this securitization backdrop,nations should proactively transform external risks into endogenous drivers for industrial transformation and technological innovation.This involves building diverse and resilient supply chain systems,strengthening independent innovation,and accelerating green and low-carbon transitions to achieve the organic unity of economic security and global competitive advantage.China's industrial sector,deeply embedded in global supply chains,faces pan-security challenges and can draw lessons from Germany's industrial transformation experience.This involves shifting from passive defense to actively shaping security environments,establishing comprehensive risk prevention systems across entire industrial chains;driving technological breakthroughs through market demand to avoid pan-security"involution";and strengthening international cooperation in frontier fields to enhance institutional discourse power in global green economic governance.

朱云杰;于宏源

上海国际问题研究院公共政策与创新研究所同济大学政治与国际关系学院

泛安全化国家安全德国工业转型供应链韧性自主创新

《阅江学刊》 2026 (2)

62-76,15

国家社会科学基金重大项目"提升全球气候治理国际话语权的策略与路径研究"(25&ZD212).

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