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地质灾害风险动态评价与智慧管控OA

Dynamic Risk Assessment and Intelligent Management and Control of Geological Hazards

中文摘要英文摘要

为了解决传统地质灾害危险性评估方法难以反映水电工程区致灾因子动态变化、在"风险双控"与主动防控方面存在局限的问题,研究通过集成"空-天-地"一体化监测网络实时获取降雨、形变等多源数据,基于自然资源风险评价算法实现斜坡单元尺度下的风险指数动态计算与危险性分区的自动更新,构建一套动态评价与智慧管控体系,以推动该技术在水电工程地质灾害防控中的应用.结果表明:该体系能够显著提升地质灾害风险的"实时感知、智能研判、精准预警、高效应对"能力,实现了从静态评价向动态评价、从被动应对向主动防控的根本性转变.研究成果可为区域地质灾害综合防范能力的现代化提供关键技术路径与系统支撑,在水电工程区的灾害风险管理中具有重要的应用价值.

To address the problems that traditional geological hazard risk assessment methods are difficult to reflect the dynamic changes of hazard-inducing factors in hydropower project areas and have limitations in the aspects of dual risk control and active prevention and con-trol,this study real-timely acquires multi-source data such as rainfall and deformation by integrating the space-air-ground integrated monitoring network.Based on the natural resource risk assessment algorithm,it realizes the dynamic calculation of risk index and auto-matic update of hazard zoning at the slope unit scale.A set of dynamic assessment and intelligent management and control system is con-structed to promote the application of this technology in the prevention and control of geological hazards in hydropower projects.The re-sults show that this system can significantly improve the capabilities of real-time perception,intelligent judgment,accurate early warning and efficient response for geological hazard risks,and realize a fundamental transformation from static assessment to dynamic assessment and from passive response to active prevention and control.The research results can provide key technical approaches and systematic sup-port for the modernization of the comprehensive prevention capacity of regional geological hazards,and have important application value in the hazard risk management of hydropower project areas.

高品红;李志海;严亮轩;刘安

中国电建集团华东勘测设计研究院有限公司,杭州 311122||浙江华东岩土勘察设计研究院有限公司,杭州 310030中国电建集团华东勘测设计研究院有限公司,杭州 311122||浙江华东岩土勘察设计研究院有限公司,杭州 310030中国电建集团华东勘测设计研究院有限公司,杭州 311122||浙江华东岩土勘察设计研究院有限公司,杭州 310030中国电建集团华东勘测设计研究院有限公司,杭州 311122||浙江华东岩土勘察设计研究院有限公司,杭州 310030

天文与地球科学

地质灾害动态评价智慧化管控平台

geological hazarddynamic assessmentintellectualizationmanagement and control platform

《西北水电》 2026 (1)

20-26,7

国家自然科学基金项目(42406247)

10.3969/j.issn.1006-2610.2026.01.004

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