基于SPEI指数的淮河流域涝灾时空演变规律研究OA
Study on spatial and temporal variation characteristic of waterlogging in Huaihe River Basin based on SPEI
涝灾给淮河流域农业生产带来严重的影响,揭示淮河流域涝害的时空演变规律对于抗灾减灾、保障农业生产安全至关重要.选取淮河流域30 个气象站点的逐日降水、逐日气温、日照时数等数据,计算 1965~2016年的标准化降水蒸散指数(SPEI),从强度、频率、面积等方面对淮河流域涝灾进行识别并对其时空演变规律展开研究.结果表明:① 淮河流域年尺度SPEI指数在研究年限内呈上升趋势,春、夏、秋三季SPEI指数均呈上升趋势,冬季SPEI指数呈现下降趋势.② 年尺度涝灾强度最高为21.32,主要发生轻度、中度涝灾,各程度受灾面积呈不显著增加趋势.③ 季节方面,春、夏、秋、冬涝灾强度最高分别为 17.64,51.72,24.53,7.14.春、秋、冬三季主要以轻度涝灾为主,发生频率最高可达到30.76%,21.15%,19.22%;夏季重度及以上涝灾发生频率最高,为40.37%;受灾面积除冬季外均呈增长趋势.研究成果可为淮河流域抗灾减灾、涝灾风险防治提供参考.
Waterlogging significantly impacts agricultural production in the Huaihe River Basin.Revealing the spatial and tem-poral variation characteristics of waterlogging in Huaihe River Basin is crucial for disaster prevention and mitigation,as well as en-suring the safety of agricultural production.Meteorological data,including the daily precipitation,daily temperature,sunshine hours from 30 meteorological stations were selected to calculate the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index(SPEI)from 1965 to 2016.The SPEI was employed to identify the intensity,frequency and areas of waterlogging.Based on this,the temporal and spatial variation characteristics of waterlogging were analyzed.The results indicated that:① During the study period,the an-nual SPEI in the Huaihe River Basin showed an increasing trend.Seasonally,SPEI increased in spring,summer,and autumn,but decreased in winter.② The annual waterlogging intensity reached a maximum of 21.32,primarily consisting of mild and moderate waterlogging.The affected area for each severity level showed a nonsignificant increasing trend.③ Seasonally,the highest water-logging intensities were 17.64 in spring,51.72 in summer,24.53 in autumn and 7.14 in winter.In spring,autumn and winter,mild waterlogging events were predominant,with frequencies reaching 30.76%,21.15%and 19.22%,respectively.The frequen-cy of severe and above waterlogging was highest in summer,reaching 40.37%.The areas that were affected by waterlogging showed an increasing trend in all seasons except winter.These findings provide a certain scientific basis for disaster resistance and mitigation,as well as waterlogging risk prevention and control in the Huaihe River Basin.
马颢宇;吴灏;韩旭东;王盼盼;闵诗文;汤怡
扬州大学 水利科学与工程学院,江苏 扬州 225000扬州大学 水利科学与工程学院,江苏 扬州 225000武汉大学 水资源工程与调度全国重点实验室,湖北 武汉 430072扬州大学 水利科学与工程学院,江苏 扬州 225000扬州大学 水利科学与工程学院,江苏 扬州 225000扬州大学 水利科学与工程学院,江苏 扬州 225000
天文与地球科学
涝灾标准化降水蒸散指数时空演变淮河流域
waterloggingstandardized precipitation evapotranspiration indextemporal and spatial evolutionHuaihe River Basin
《人民长江》 2026 (2)
24-36,13
江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划项目(SJCX24_2248)国家自然科学基金项目(52009118)
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