首页|期刊导航|铁道运输与经济|基于Hotelling模型的高速铁路平行列车竞合关系研究

基于Hotelling模型的高速铁路平行列车竞合关系研究OA

Coopetition Relationship of High Speed Rail Parallel Trains Based on Hotelling Model

中文摘要英文摘要

随着我国高速铁路网络的持续扩展与完善,平行列车数量增加使它们之间竞合关系越发复杂.研究基于差异化分类理论,对平行列车进行分类,通过改进的Hotelling模型对平行列车竞合关系进行深入分析,探讨了票价调整对不同收入水平旅客综合选择行为影响,进一步分析票价调整如何影响单类列车的收益和高速铁路平行列车的总收益.研究表明,不同收入水平的旅客群体不仅在服务偏好上存在显著分化,其支付意愿也各不相同;票价浮动虽然可能导致个别列车因客流量减少而收益下降,但从全局视角看,合理的票价策略能提升高速铁路运营企业的总收益.研究揭示了平行列车间复杂的竞合规律,为高速铁路运营企业制定差异化票价策略提供了理论依据,有助于实现列车间竞合关系的优化平衡,从而在提升运营收益的同时提高整体服务水平.

As China's high speed rail network continuously expands and improves,the increasing number of parallel trains has made the coopetition relationships among them increasingly complex.This paper classified parallel trains based on the differentiated categorization theory,and conducted an in-depth analysis of the coopetition relationships among parallel trains by adopting an improved Hotelling model.Meanwhile,it investigated the influence of fare adjustments on the comprehensive choice behavior of passengers with different income levels,and further analyzed how fare adjustments affect the revenue of single-class trains and total revenue of high speed rail parallel trains.The results show that passenger groups with different income levels not only exhibit significant differences in service preferences but also vary in their willingness to pay.Although fare fluctuation may result in a revenue decrease for individual trains due to the reduced passenger flow volume,from a holistic perspective,a reasonable fare strategy can increase the total revenue of the high speed rail operators.This paper reveals the complex coopetition rules among parallel trains,providing a theoretical basis for high speed rail operators to formulate differentiated fare strategies.Additionally,it helps achieve an optimized balance in the coopetition relationships among trains,thereby increasing operational revenue while improving overall service.

任文静;丁静;徐彦;佟璐

北京交通大学 智慧高铁系统前沿科学中心,北京 100044||北京交通大学 交通运输学院,北京 100044中国铁路广州局集团有限公司 客运部,广东 广州 510000中国国家铁路集团有限公司 客运部,北京 100844北京交通大学 智慧高铁系统前沿科学中心,北京 100044||北京交通大学 交通运输学院,北京 100044

交通工程

平行列车Hotelling模型竞合关系票价浮动服务偏好

Parallel TrainHotelling ModelCoopetition RelationshipFare FluctuationService Preference

《铁道运输与经济》 2026 (3)

101-108,8

国家自然科学基金-铁路基础研究联合基金项目(U2468224)中国国家铁路集团有限公司科技研究开发计划课题(K2023X047)

10.16668/j.cnki.issn.1003-1421.20250215001

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