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青藏高原拉萨河流域径流组成及驱动因素OA

Runoff composition and its driving factors in the Lhasa River Basin,Tibetan Plateau

中文摘要英文摘要

青藏高原冰冻圈快速变化正在重塑高寒流域水循环过程.以拉萨河流域为例,本文基于气象水文站点、冰川编目及积雪遥感等多源数据,采用VIC-glacier模型重建并解析拉萨河流域 1975-2016年降雨、融雪与融冰径流过程.结果表明:模型在拉萨、唐加、旁多和羊八井 4个水文站的日径流模拟效果良好(纳什效率系数均大于 0.70,相对误差均小于 10%),并能合理再现流域冰川退缩与积雪季节变化;下游拉萨站多年平均径流以降雨径流为主(占比为75.8%),融雪和融冰径流分别占 22.2%和 2.0%;上游羊八井站融冰径流的贡献达 41.8%;研究期内融雪径流显著下降(-0.693 mm/a),融冰径流持续上升(0.047 mm/a),降水是径流年际波动的首要影响因子,而气温通过调控融水过程重塑径流组成并呈现显著的季节性差异.本研究可为流域水资源变化评估与适应性管理提供依据.

Cryospheric change on the Tibetan Plateau is reshaping its hydrological processes and threatening regional water security.The Lhasa River,which is the largest tributary of the Yarlung Tsangpo River,is a typical example of a river in a meltwater-fed basin that is highly sensitive to climate change.Using the VIC-glacier model constrained by multisource datasets,including meteorological and hydrological observations,glacier inventories,and satellite snow products,the runoff components of the Lhasa River Basin during 1975-2016 were reconstructed and partitioned.The daily discharge was consistently reproduced at four gauges(Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency:>0.70;relative error:<10%).At the downstream gauge on the Lhasa River,mean annual runoff was dominated by rainfall runoff(75.8%),with snowmelt and glacier melt water contributing 22.2%and 2.0%,respectively;at the upstream Yangbajing gauge,glacier melt water accounted for 41.8%of runoff.Over the study period,snowmelt runoff declined substantially(-0.693 mm/a),whereas glacier meltwater runoff increased(0.047 mm/a).Precipitation was the primary control on runoff variability,while air temperature reshaped runoff composition by regulating meltwater processes,exhibiting pronounced seasonal contrasts.These findings provide a scientific basis for assessing water-resource changes and supporting adaptive management in high-altitude basins.

谷黄河;焦雅迪;王晓燕;鞠琴;江鹏;余钟波

河海大学水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京 210098||河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏 南京 210098河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏 南京 210098河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏 南京 210098河海大学水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京 210098||河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏 南京 210098河海大学水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京 210098||河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏 南京 210098河海大学水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京 210098||河海大学水文水资源学院,江苏 南京 210098

天文与地球科学

径流成分VIC-glacier模型冰雪融水气候变化拉萨河流域青藏高原

runoff componentsVIC-glacier modelsnow and glacier meltclimate changeLhasa River BasinTibetan Plateau

《水科学进展》 2026 (2)

235-246,12

国家自然科学基金项目(4227102042277074) The study is financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42271020No.42277074).

10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2026.02.004

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