中国肉牛与奶牛产业生产形势分析与发展建议OA
Analysis of Production Situation and Development Recommendations for Beef and Dairy Cattle in China
中国是牛肉和牛奶的消费与生产大国,但产业发展正面临转型升级的关键挑战.当前,肉牛与奶牛产业呈现显著的结构性分化,肉牛产业因能繁母牛存栏量持续下滑、种源短缺与外购架子牛成本高昂,导致本土产能增长缓慢,供需缺口扩大;奶牛产业虽规模化水平提升,但受饲料成本高、原料奶价格持续下行及进口乳制品冲击等影响,养殖效益承压,行业已进入新一轮去产能周期.为推动产业高质量发展,本文系统分析了两大产业的生产形势、区域布局及核心瓶颈,并提出四方面对策,即构建因地制宜的产业链提质增效模式、确立母牛养殖适度规模标准、推动品种改良与数智化饲喂管理技术应用、优化人才培养体系.通过科技创新、体系优化与政策引导的深度融合,推动产业实现从数量扩张向质量效益的根本性转变.
China is a major producer and consumer of beef and milk,yet its cattle industry faces critical chal-lenges in transformation and upgrading.Currently,the beef and dairy sectors exhibit significant structural divergence.The beef cattle industry suffers from sluggish domestic capacity growth due to declining bree-ding cow inventories,genetic resource shortages,and high costs of sourcing feeder cattle,resulting in a wi-dening supply-demand gap.The dairy industry,despite improved scale levels,is under profitability pressure from high feed costs,declining raw milk prices,and dairy import shocks,triggering a new round of capacity destocking.To promote high-quality industrial development,this paper systematically analyzes the produc-tion situation,regional layout,and core bottlenecks of both sectors.And proposes four strategies:construc-ting localized industrial chain quality and efficiency enhancement models,establishing moderate-scale bree-ding standards,promoting breed improvement and digital-intelligent management technologies,and optimi-zing talent training system.Through the deep integration of technological innovation,system optimization,and policy guidance,the industry can achieve a fundamental shift from quantitative expansion to quality and efficiency orientation.
王雷;周苏高;孙平谕;吕晨晓;马毅
天津市农业科学院畜牧兽医研究所,天津 300381||天津市畜禽分子育种与生物技术重点实验室,天津 300381||天津市畜禽健康养殖工程技术中心,天津 300381天津市农业科学院畜牧兽医研究所,天津 300381||山西农业大学生命科学学院,山西晋中 030801天津市农业科学院畜牧兽医研究所,天津 300381||中国农业大学动物科学技术学院,北京 100083天津市农业科学院畜牧兽医研究所,天津 300381||南开大学生命科学学院,天津 300371天津市农业科学院畜牧兽医研究所,天津 300381||天津市畜禽分子育种与生物技术重点实验室,天津 300381||天津市畜禽健康养殖工程技术中心,天津 300381
农业科技
肉牛产业奶牛产业生产形势对策建议
beef cattle industrydairy cattle industryproduction situationpolicy recommendations
《中国牛业科学》 2026 (1)
1-5,14,6
天津市自然科学基金项目(25JCQNJC00190)天津市奶牛(肉羊)现代农业产业技术体系项目(ITTCRS2021000)天津市农业科学院种业创新研究项目(2025ZYCX004)东西部科技协作专项甘肃省科学技术厅项目(24CXNH008)
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