黄土高原撂荒耕地时空变化和驱动因素分析OA
Spatio-temporal Changes and Driving Factors of Abandoned Croplands in the Loess Plateau
黄土高原作为中国重要的生态屏障和农业生产区,其耕地撂荒问题对区域生态环境和粮食安全具有深远影响,揭示撂荒耕地的时空格局及驱动机制,为黄土高原耕地保护与生态修复政策的制定提供了科学依据.本研究基于1992-2019年中国土地覆盖年度数据集(CLCD)、夜间灯光数据(SVNL)、地形以及气候数据,采用滑动窗口法和逐像元相关性分析,系统揭示了黄土高原撂荒耕地的时空变化特征及其驱动机制.结果表明,1992-2019年,黄土高原撂荒耕地总面积为107.46×105 hm2,其中,退耕还林还草工程全面实施阶段(2001-2006年)的平均撂荒面积最多.撂荒耕地主要分布于高海拔(1500~1750 m)和陡坡(70~75°)区域,表明自然条件对耕地利用的制约作用显著.耕地撂荒面积随温度和降水梯度变化,在-4~1℃低温区间和400~500 mm降水区间,撂荒比例最高.夜间灯光强度与撂荒耕地的相关性分析显示,黄土高原60.26%的区域相关系数介于-0.2000~0,表明夜间灯光强度与撂荒耕地的相关性较弱.但省级尺度分析表明,山西省和内蒙古自治区呈现显著负相关,而陕西和宁夏呈现显著正相关,反映了区域经济发展模式和土地利用结构的差异.
The Loess Plateau,as an important ecological barrier and agricultural production area in China,faces the issue of cropland abandonment,which has profound impacts on regional ecological environments and food security.Revealing the spatiotempo-ral pattern and driving mechanism of abandoned croplands provides a scientific basis for the formulation of cropland protection and ecological restoration policies on the Loess Plateau.Based on sliding window analysis and pixel-by-pixel correlation analysis,this study systematically revealed the spatiotemporal characteristics and driving mechanisms of abandoned cropland from 1992 to 2019 on the Loess Plateau using China Land Cover Data(CLCD),nighttime light data(SVNL),topographic data,and climatic data.Results indi-cated that from 1992 to 2019,the total area of abandoned croplands on the Loess Plateau was 107.46×105 hectares.Among this,the av-erage area of abandoned croplands was the highest during the comprehensive implementation phase of the Grain for Green Program(2001 to 2006).Abandoned croplands were mainly distributed in high-altitude(1500 to 1750 meters)and steep-slope(70°to 75°)ar-eas,indicating significant constraints imposed by natural conditions on cropland utilization.The area of abandoned croplands varied significantly along temperature and precipitation gradients,with the highest abandonment rates observed in the-4 to 1℃ low-temper-ature range and the 400 to 500 mm precipitation range.Correlation analysis between nighttime light intensity and abandoned cropland showed that in most regions of the Loess Plateau(60.26%),the correlation coefficients ranged between-0.200 0 to 0,indicating a weak correlation between nighttime light intensity and abandoned farmland.However,provincial-scale analysis revealed significant negative correlations in Shanxi and Inner Mongolia,while significant positive correlations were observed in Shaanxi and Ningxia,re-flecting differences in regional economic development models and land use structures.
杜丹丹;董博;张东伟;温健
甘肃省农业科学院旱地农业研究所,甘肃 兰州 730070甘肃省农业科学院旱地农业研究所,甘肃 兰州 730070甘肃省农业科学院农业经济与信息研究所,甘肃 兰州 730070甘肃省农业科学院旱地农业研究所,甘肃 兰州 730070
管理科学
黄土高原撂荒耕地时空变化夜间灯光数据地形因子退耕还林还草工程
Loess PlateauAbandoned croplandSpatiotemporal changeNighttime light dataTopographic factorGrain for Green Program
《寒旱农业科学》 2026 (2)
136-143,8
甘肃省旱作区水资源高效利用重点实验室开放基金(2024HNS10)甘肃省科技重大专项计划项目(25ZD-FA011)甘肃省软科学计划项目(25JRZA140)兰州市科技计划项目(2024-8-39)永登县科技计划项目(2024-3).
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