农业水价综合改革对中国种植业高质量发展的影响与作用机制OA
Impact and mechanism of agricultural water price reform on the high-quality development of planting industry in China
种植业高质量发展是推进农业强国建设的核心支撑与关键路径.探究农业水价综合改革对中国种植业高质量发展的影响,可为改革政策如何深化实施以服务于种植业高质量发展提供科学依据.从种植业投入产出视角探究农业水价综合改革对种植业高质量发展的作用机制,测度种植业高质量发展水平,运用交错双重差分模型检验农业水价综合改革政策对种植业高质量发展的影响和作用机制,并重点关注其区域异质性.结果表明:(1)2011-2022年中国种植业高质量发展水平总体稳步上升,空间上东部沿海与北方主产区优势突出、中西部梯度递减.(2)农业水价综合改革政策有助于推动种植业高质量发展,但其影响存在显著的区域异质性,粮食主产区、南方地区受政策影响更为显著.(3)农业水价综合改革政策通过农业节水、种植结构调整及节水灌溉技术采用等机制促进种植业高质量发展,且机制作用亦存在显著的区域异质性.因此,建议未来农业水价综合改革构建差异化的深化实施框架,以有效服务于种植业高质量发展.
High-quality development of the planting industry is a fundamental support and key pathway for build-ing an agricultural powerhouse in China.Assessing how agricultural water price reform influences the industry's high-quality development can provide evidence to guide the further deepening and effective implementation of re-form policies.From an input-output perspective,this study examines the effects and mechanisms of agricultural water price reform on the high-quality development of China's planting industry and measures the level of high-quality development of planting industry.We construct an index to measure the level of high-quality development and employ a staggered difference-in-differences model to test the policy's impacts,mechanisms,and regional heterogeneity.The results show that(1)From 2011 to 2022,the level of high-quality development in China's planting industry increased overall,with clear spatial disparities:eastern coastal provinces and northern ma-jor grain-producing areas performed better,and a stepwise decline is observed from central to western re-gions.(2)The findings also suggest that agricultural water price reform significantly promotes high-quality devel-opment,but the effects vary across regions,with stronger effects in major grain-producing areas and southern re-gions.(3)The reform advances high-quality development by encouraging agricultural water conservation,opti-mizing cropping structures,and increasing the adoption of water-saving irrigation technologies;these mecha-nisms also exhibit marked regional heterogeneity.These findings suggest that future reforms should adopt a differ-entiated framework for deepening implementation,tailored to regional conditions,to better support high-quality development of the planting industry.
史亚娟;王永瑜;罗雷
兰州财经大学统计与数据科学学院,甘肃 兰州 730020兰州财经大学统计与数据科学学院,甘肃 兰州 730020兰州财经大学经济学院,甘肃 兰州 730020
农业水价综合改革种植业高质量发展区域异质性交错双重差分
agricultural water pricecomprehensive reformhigh-quality development of planting industryre-gional heterogeneitystaggered difference-in-differences
《干旱区地理》 2026 (3)
607-618,12
国家社会科学基金一般项目(22BTJ002)国家社会科学基金青年项目(24CJY089)资助
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