中国西北地区数字经济与旅游经济韧性的协同演化OA
Synergistic evolution of digital economy and tourism economic resilience in northwest China
厘清数字经济与旅游经济韧性的协同演化机理,为实现区域产业结构优化与韧性提升提供了重要路径,对于推动区域高质量发展具有重要意义.基于2011-2022年中国西北5省区的面板数据,综合运用熵值法、哈肯模型及地理探测器方法,系统分析数字经济与旅游经济韧性2系统的协同关系与驱动机制.结果表明:(1)复合系统协同水平总体呈上升趋势,数字经济作为序参量主导协同演化进程,但旅游经济韧性对其存在微弱拖拽效应(控制参量=0.146).(2)数字经济与旅游经济韧性的协同度在时序上经历"萌芽(2011-2016年)-攀升(2017-2020年)-巩固(2021-2022年)"3阶段,空间上形成"陕西省领先、甘肃省与新疆维吾尔自治区居中、宁夏回族自治区与青海省滞后"的梯度格局.(3)外部驱动因子中,交通条件与金融发展水平为核心驱动力,政府支持与产业结构在特定时期作用显著.据此,中国西北地区应加强数字基础设施建设、推动"交通-金融"双轮驱动,并实施差异化政策以提升区域协同发展水平.
Clarifying the collaborative evolution mechanism between the digital economy and tourism economy resilience provides a critical path for achieving regional industrial structure optimization and resilience enhance-ment,and holds strong significance for promoting regional high-quality development.Based on panel data from five provinces and autonomous regions in northwest China from 2011 to 2022,this paper comprehensively ap-plies the entropy method,the Haken model,and the geographical detector method to systematically analyze the collaborative relationship and driving mechanism between the digital economy and tourism economy resilience systems.The results show that(1)The composite system's overall collaboration level is trending upward.As the leading variable,the digital economy dominates the collaborative evolution process,but the tourism economic re-silience has a weak dragging effect(control variable=0.146).(2)The collaborative degree between the digital economy and tourism economy resilience undergoes three stages in time sequence,"sprouting"(2011-2016),"climbing"(2017-2020),and"consolidation"(2021-2022),and forms a gradient pattern with Shaanxi Prov-ince leading,Gansu Province and Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region in the middle,and Ningxia Hui Autono-mous Region and Qinghai Province lagging.(3)Among the external driving factors,transportation conditions and the level of financial development are the core forces,and government support and the industrial structure play a significant role in specific periods.Therefore,the northwest region should strengthen digital infrastructure devel-opment,promote the"transportation-finance"dual-wheel drive,and implement differentiated policies to enhance regional collaborative development.
王生霞;武芯如
兰州财经大学工商管理学院,甘肃 兰州 730000兰州财经大学工商管理学院,甘肃 兰州 730000
数字经济旅游经济韧性协同演化驱动因子中国西北地区
digital economytourism economic resilienceco-evolutiondriving factornorthwest China
《干旱区地理》 2026 (3)
462-473,12
国家自然科学基金项目(41501076)甘肃省基础研究计划——软科学专项项目(24JRZA079)甘肃省高校青年博士支持项目(2023QB-069)甘肃省教育厅高校教师创新基金项目(2024A-071)兰州财经大学校级一般科研项目(Lzufe2024C-007)资助
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