首页|期刊导航|国际论坛|地缘政治重构背景下德国军工产业的结构变化及其影响

地缘政治重构背景下德国军工产业的结构变化及其影响OACHSSCD

Structural Changes in Germany's Military Industry and Their Influence in the Context of Geopolitical Reconfiguration

中文摘要英文摘要

二战后德国恪守"军事克制文化",军工产业发展缓慢.2022年以来,俄乌冲突和跨大西洋关系变化促使德国调整国防政策,德国军工产业迎来快速发展时期.本文基于"结构—行为—绩效"分析框架,引入地缘政治变化作为驱动因素,聚焦全球地缘政治重构以来德国军工产业的结构变化,探究德国政府和主要军工企业的策略和行为,并分析其对企业经营、宏观经济及地缘政治的影响.研究发现,地缘政治重构一方面刺激武器装备市场的需求,推动德国军工产业实现大幅扩张,另一方面暴露出德国军工企业供给不足及供应链结构性问题.为此德国政府提高国防支出,通过特别国防基金等金融工具提供强力财政支持,并优化制度条件,放松财政债务约束和武器出口管制;军工企业加大数字化和智能化技术研发投入,持续扩张企业规模和产能,并调整企业组织架构,聚焦军工业务.这些措施推动了德国大型军工企业竞争力的大幅提升,德国武器出口额连创新高,有助于提升德国在欧洲及国际事务上的影响力和话语权.但受困于德国经济产业转型缓慢,军工企业整体效能仍待提高.

In the post-World War Ⅱ period,Germany adhered to a culture of military restraint,resulting in the slow development of its military industry.Since 2022,factors such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and changes in transatlantic relations have prompted Germany to adjust its defense policy,ushering in a new period of opportunity for the military industrial sector.This paper focuses on changes in the structure of Germany's military industry in the context of geopolitical reconfiguration,examines government policies and firm behavior,and analyzes their performance effects.It finds that geopolitical shifts have stimulated demand in the arms market and driven significant expansion of Germany's military industry,while they have exposed capacity constraints,insufficient supply by firms and structural problems of the supply chain.In response,the German government has provided substantial fiscal support and improved institutional conditions,and defense companies have increased investment in digitalization and intelligent technologies,continuously expanded firm size and production capacity,adjusted organizational structures,and refocused on core defense activities.These measures have enhanced the competitiveness of Germany's major defense companies,and Germany's arms exports have risen rapidly in the last years,all of which have contributed to strengthening Germany's influence in European and international affairs.Nevertheless,constrained by the slow pace of Germany's economic and industrial transformation,the overall efficiency of defense firms still requires improvement.

寇蔻;黄唯城

北京外国语大学德语学院(北京 100089)北京外国语大学德语学院(北京 100089)

管理科学

地缘政治军工产业国防支出产业结构

geopoliticsmilitary industrydefense expenditureindustrial structure

《国际论坛》 2026 (2)

115-133,19

本文为国家社科基金青年项目"百年大变局下中国与欧盟产业链协同发展研究"(项目批准号:21CGJ024)阶段性成果.

10.13549/j.cnki.cn11-3959/d.2026.02.007

评论