欧盟绿色能源政策的演进逻辑:动因、特点与前景OACHSSCD
The Evolutionary Logic of the EU's Green Energy Policy:Drivers,Characteristics,and Prospects
能源领域的竞争向来是国家安全和国际战略博弈的核心领域之一.在当前的能源竞争中,欧盟处于特殊的位置:一方面,其长期在能源环境绩效方面处于领先地位,具有规则塑造的先发优势;另一方面,由于能源基础条件不足,欧盟在大国能源竞争中面临严峻挑战.欧盟在弥补能源基础的不足、服务外交与安全目标和塑造市场—制度优势三重因素驱动下,选择发展绿色能源.同时,欧盟在能源产业竞争中强调安全性与自主性,试图通过多种政策工具,增强绿色发展目标的协同效应.然而,其能源政策也受限于成员国关于能源转型的分歧、政策落地与执行问题以及政治上的右倾变化,在实践中整体"绿而不强"的特征愈发凸显.在特朗普再度执政的背景下,美国政府正进一步削弱全球气候治理的多边合作框架,并对其国家能源安全战略进行了系统性调整,这将影响美欧原有的跨大西洋能源合作关系.此类外部冲击叠加欧盟内部不断上升的治理张力导致其后续绿色能源发展的动力受限,持续影响欧盟在全球能源格局中的长期竞争力.
Energy has long constituted a crucial component of national security and international rivalry.In recent years,major powers have been actively formulating relevant industrial and trade policies to secure their advantageous positions in energy competitions.Within the current landscape,the European Union plays a distinctive role.On one hand,it has long been a frontrunner in energy and environmental performance,granting it a first-mover advantage in shaping rules and standards.On the other hand,due to insufficient energy foundations,the EU finds itself under severe challenges in great-power energy competition.Driven by three factors-compensating for deficiencies in energy foundations,serving its foreign and security strategies,and shaping market and institutional advantages.At present,the EU emphasizes security and strategic autonomy in energy industry competition and seeks to enhance the synergies of green development goal through multiple categories of measures.However,constrained by disagreements among member states over the energy transition,challenges in policy implementation and enforcement,and the rightward shift of European politics,the practice of EU's energy policy increasingly exhibits a characteristic of being"green yet not powerful."Against the backdrop of Donald Trump's return to power,the U.S.government is further undermining the multilateral framework of global climate governance,and has undertaken a systemic adjustment of its own energy security strategy.This will damage the previously established transatlantic energy cooperation between the U.S.and Europe,while rising internal governance tensions within the EU are limiting its momentum for further green development,posing ongoing challenges to its participation in global energy competition.
徐沁仪;王雲霖
北京大学国际关系学院||北京大学碳中和研究院(北京 100871)加州大学伯克利分校政治学系
社会科学
大国竞争绿色能源产业竞争政策演进能源安全
great-power competitiongreen energyindustrial competitionpolicy evolutionenergy security
《国际论坛》 2026 (2)
97-114,18
本文系国家社会科学基金重大项目"世界重点国家的安全理论与实践比较研究"(项目号:24&ZD295)和北京市社会科学基金青年项目"美欧对华新能源政策变化趋势及中国的应对研究"(项目号:24ZGC0087)的阶段性成果.
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