首页|期刊导航|国际论坛|关键矿产地缘博弈:美国在中亚的战略布局、制约因素与影响分析

关键矿产地缘博弈:美国在中亚的战略布局、制约因素与影响分析OACHSSCD

Geopolitical Competition for Critical Minerals:Strategic Deployment and Prospects of the United States in Central Asia

中文摘要英文摘要

在大国战略竞争加剧的背景下,基于供应链安全与对华竞争诉求,美国将与中亚国家的关键矿产合作纳入国家战略布局.其布局动因源于美国对多元供应渠道的迫切需求、中亚对资金技术的现实诉求,以及地缘格局演变的外部推动.美国以保障供应安全为基本目标,以巩固全球竞争优势为核心导向,通过搭建三级合作框架,聚焦稀缺矿种开展贸易往来,以差异化策略推进矿产勘探开发与加工领域投资,并联动交通基建计划强化通道掌控,形成多维度战略布局.然而,外部地缘竞争的挤压、美国内生性限制、双方核心诉求的分歧,以及项目执行中的多重考验,共同制约了合作的广度与深度.美国的这一战略布局不仅加剧全球关键矿产地缘博弈、推动供应链碎片化,还将固化中亚资源依赖型经济并放大生态风险,同时从供应链、治理话语权等维度对中国构成挑战.短期内,美国布局将保持发展态势,中长期将形成"有限存在、多元竞合"的复杂格局.针对美国中亚关键矿产战略布局的多重影响,中国应锚定构建中国—中亚命运共同体目标,以高质量共建"一带一路"为抓手精准施策,筑牢合作根基,为全球资源治理注入共赢动能.

Against the backdrop of intensifying strategic competition among major powers,driven by concerns over supply chain security and competitive dynamics vis-à-vis China,the United States has integrated its critical mineral cooperation with Central Asian countries into its national strategic framework.This collaborative momentum stems from three core factors:the U.S.urgent need to diversify supply channels,Central Asia's practical demand for capital and technology,and the external impetus of evolving geopolitical landscapes.With the fundamental goal of safeguarding supply security and the core orientation of consolidating global competitive advantages,the U.S.has established a three-tier cooperation mechanism-focusing on trade in scarce minerals,advancing targeted investments in mineral exploration,development,and processing,and strengthening channel control through alignment with transportation infrastructure initiatives-thereby forming a multi-dimensional cooperative layout.However,the breadth and depth of this cooperation are constrained by multiple challenges:intense external geopolitical competition,inherent limitations of U.S.policy implementation,divergences in core interests between the two sides,and practical hurdles in project execution.This cooperation not only exacerbates global geopolitical rivalry over critical minerals and accelerates supply chain fragmentation but also reinforces Central Asia's resource-dependent economic structure,amplifies ecological risks,and poses challenges to China in areas such as supply chain stability and resource governance discourse.In the short term,this cooperation will gradually expand;in the medium to long term,it will evolve into a pattern of"limited cooperation and pluralistic coexistence."In response to the multifaceted impacts of U.S.-Central Asia cooperation on critical minerals,China should anchor its strategies in the goal of building a China-Central Asia community with a shared future,leverage high-quality Belt and Road cooperation as a pivotal mechanism for targeted policy implementation,strengthen the foundation for collaboration,and infuse win-win momentum into global resource governance.

赵会荣

中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所(北京 100007)

社会科学

美国中亚战略关键矿产供应链"一带一路"地缘博弈

The United States strategy for Central Asiacritical mineralssupply chainthe Belt and Road Initiativegeopolitical competition

《国际论坛》 2026 (2)

28-44,17

本文系中国社会科学院智库基础研究项目"美国与中亚国家关键矿产合作研究"的阶段性成果.

10.13549/j.cnki.cn11-3959/d.2026.02.002

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