首页|期刊导航|中国农业大学学报|生猪养殖户种养结合模式采纳决策的驱动机制与收入效应分析

生猪养殖户种养结合模式采纳决策的驱动机制与收入效应分析OA

Research on the drving mechanism of adoption decision and income effect of crop-livestock integration for pig farmers

中文摘要英文摘要

为揭示养殖户种养结合行为决策机理,提升其种养结合内生动力,本研究基于对陕西省316位生猪养殖户的实地调研,采用Triple-Hurdle模型实证检验了养殖户种养结合模式采纳决策的影响因素,并对种养结合模式的收入效应进行评价.结果表明:1)90.5%的受访养殖户愿意采纳种养结合模式,但采纳率仅为40.8%,平均种养结合程度为0.236.2)养殖户种养结合模式采纳决策受经济预期与环境规制的综合影响,经济预期正向影响养殖户的采纳决策,但不同类型环境规制与经济预期的交互作用对采纳决策的影响存在差异.3)种养结合模式对养殖户收入具有显著的正向影响.反事实情境下,对于实际采纳该模式的养殖户,若其未采纳,其收入将平均降低4.5%;对于实际未采纳该模式的养殖户,若采纳,收入可平均提升6.8%.本研究为破解养殖户种养结合模式采纳困境、优化农业绿色发展政策提供了理论依据.

To investigate the decision-making mechanism of farmers' crop-livestock integration(CLI)behaviors and enhance their motivation of CLI,based on field surveys of 316 pig farmers in Shaanxi Province,this study employs a Triple-Hurdle model to empirically examine the factors influencing farmers' adoption decisions regarding CLI and evaluates the income effects of this model.The results show that:1)90.5%of farmers are willing to adopt CLI,but the actual adoption rate are 40.8%,with an average integration degree of 0.236.2)Farmers' CLI adoption decisions are jointly influenced by economic expectations and environmental regulations.Economic expectations significantly promote adoption decisions,but the interaction effects between different types of environmental regulations and economic expectations on adoption decisions vary.3)The CLI model has a significant effect on increasing the income of pig farmers.Counterfactual analysis shows that for farmers who actually adopted CLI,assuming they do not adopt it,their average income would decrease by 4.5%.Conversely,their average income would increase by 6.8%.This study provides theoretical underpinnings for overcoming the dilemma of farmer adoption of CLI and optimizing policies for agricultural green development.

曹静;徐家鹏;闫振宇;曹慧敏;王芳芳

西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西杨凌 712100西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西杨凌 712100西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西杨凌 712100西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西杨凌 712100西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西杨凌 712100

管理科学

养殖户种养结合经济预期环境规制收入效应

farmerscrop-livestock integrationeconomic expectationsenvironmental regulationincome effect

《中国农业大学学报》 2026 (3)

181-195,15

国家社会科学基金项目(24XGL005)

10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2026.03.16

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