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考虑等效竞争对手的发电商日前市场竞价策略优化OA

Research on Day-ahead Market Bidding Strategy Optimization for Power Generators Considering Equivalent Competitors

中文摘要英文摘要

在电力市场化交易规模不断扩大的背景下,发电商如何制定科学合理的市场竞价策略问题亟待解决.针对发电商作为价格制定者参与日前市场的报量报价问题,本文提出考虑等效竞争对手的发电商日前市场竞价决策方法.首先,对各发电商历史报价数据标准化处理后采用Chameleon聚类,提取出不同类型机组的典型报价模式.其次,针对竞争对手报价行为的不确定性问题,引入等效竞争对手概念,建立两阶段长短期记忆网络(long short-term memory,LSTM)模型估计和预测等效竞争对手的累积报价曲线.然后,建立双层优化模型求解发电商参与日前市场的最优报价策略.最后,通过算例验证了本方法的有效性,建立的模型对真实电力市场的模拟效果较好,制定的竞价策略可提高发电商的市场收益,从而为发电商的报量报价决策提供有效指导.

In the context of the continuously expanding electricity market trading scale,the scientific and reasonable formulation of market bidding strategies for power generators has become an urgent issue to solve.This paper proposes a day-ahead market bidding decision method for power generators participating as price makers,which considers equivalent competitors.The method first standardizes historical bidding data of power generators using Chameleon clustering to extract typical bidding patterns for different types of generating units.To manage the uncertainty of competitors'bidding behaviors,the concept of equivalent competitors is introduced,and a two-stage long short-term memory(LSTM)model is established to estimate and predict the cumulative bidding curve of these equivalent competitors.Based on this,a bi-level optimization model is constructed to determine the optimal bidding strategy for power generators participating in the day-ahead market.Case studies validate the effectiveness of this method,demonstrating good simulation results for real electricity markets and improved market returns for power generators,thereby providing effective guidance for quantity and price bidding decisions of power generators.

吴主辉;黄宇飞;郭久林;张少为;鞠家鑫;李知艺

浙江大唐能源营销有限公司,浙江 杭州 310000浙江大唐乌沙山发电有限责任公司,浙江 宁波 315722浙江大唐乌沙山发电有限责任公司,浙江 宁波 315722浙江大唐乌沙山发电有限责任公司,浙江 宁波 315722国家电网有限公司东北分部,辽宁 沈阳 110181浙江大学电气工程学院,浙江 杭州 310027

信息技术与安全科学

发电商电力市场等效竞争对手双层优化模型交易决策

power generatorelectricity marketequivalent competitorbi-level optimization modeltrading decision

《山东电力技术》 2026 (2)

78-88,11

国家自然科学基金项目(52477132). National Natural Science Foundation of China(52477132).

10.20097/j.cnki.issn1007-9904.250387

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