河网区潮流顶托对滨海城市内涝影响OA
Impact of Tidal Backwater in a River-Network Region on Urban Waterlogging in a Coastal City:A Case Study of the Jinfeng-Cuiping Area,Zhuhai
以珠海市金凤—翠屏片区为研究区,采用最大熵方法拟合潮位频率分布,并基于潮位相关性实现设计潮位由灯笼山站向石角咀闸的映射迁移;在此基础上构建SWMM与LISFLOOD-FP松散耦合的一维-二维模拟框架,设置"降雨-潮位-闸控"多情景开展滨海城市内涝响应分析.结果显示:1)在 2024-05-04强降雨无闸控条件下,自由出流情景溢流节点占比为 43.46%,在 200 a潮位情景下升至 46.35%,高满流管段比例达到52.41%,排水系统呈明显超载;2)潮位顶托显著放大内涝风险,200 a情景最大淹没水深增至 2.85 m(较自由出流增加约 40%),总淹没面积扩大至 3.62 km2(增加 129%),高风险区面积增加约 39%;3)分级闸控可有效削减极端潮位下的峰值淹没风险,在 200 a情景下,流域出口下游边界采用分闸门调控可使最大淹没水深降低26.18%,总淹没面积由 3.62降至 3.0 km2(减少 17.1%),但对溢流历时与系统性超载的改善相对有限.研究表明,潮位顶托是滨海城市内涝的重要放大机制,科学闸控运行可在极端条件下发挥削峰与减灾作用.
Coastal cities are increasingly exposed to compound pluvial-coastal flooding under climate change and sea-level rise.When intense rainfall coincides with elevated downstream water levels,tide-induced backwaters suppress gravity drainage and can rapidly escalate sewer surcharges and surface inundation.This study quantifies the amplification effect of tidal backwater on urban waterlogging in a tidal river-network system and evaluates the mitigation potential of graded sluice operation under extreme conditions.The Jinfeng-Cuiping area in Zhuhai,southern China,was selected as a representative low-gradient coastal catchment.A designed tide frequency curve was derived using a maximum entropy framework and fitted with multiple candidate probability distributions.The goodness-of-fit was evaluated using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov(K-S)test,and the selected distribution was used to obtain the design high-tide levels for typical return periods.Because long-term observations at the target downstream boundary(Shijiaozui sluice)are limited,design tide levels were transferred from the long-record Denglongshan gauge to Shijiaozui through an empirically established relationship based on overlapping water-level observations,thereby enabling long-series-based boundary design while maintaining local representativeness.A loosely coupled 1D-2D urban flood model was then built by linking the U.S.EPA Storm Water Management Model(SWMM)for drainage hydraulics with LISFLOOD-FP for surface inundation.The SWMM-simulated node overflow hydrographs were converted into boundary-condition files and imposed on the corresponding grid cells in the 2D model to reproduce the spatiotemporal evolution of surface flooding.The coupled workflow was calibrated and validated against multiple historical waterlogging events using both inundation extent and water-level processes,ensuring that the model can be used for mechanism identification and scenario comparison.Scenario simulations were conducted for the heavy rainfall event of 4 May 2024 under three classes of downstream boundary conditions:(i)free outflow(no tidal constraint),(ii)rainfall encountering 1-,10-,50-,100-,and 200-year design tides with direct imposition of tide levels at the downstream boundary,and(iii)the same tide scenarios with graded sluice operation driven by the head difference between the inside and outside water levels.Key response metrics included overflow-node count and proportion,overflow duration and depth indicators,sewer surcharge classification,and inundation depth/area statistics.Results indicate that tidal backwater substantially increases system overload and surface waterlogging.Under the 4 May 2024 rainfall,the overflow-node proportion reached 43.46%in the free-outflow case and increased to 46.35%under the 200-year tide,with the proportion of highly surcharged pipes increasing to 52.41%,indicating severe drainage stress.The tide backwater also amplified surface flooding,with the maximum inundation depth increasing to 2.85 m(approximately 40%higher than free outflow)and the total inundation area expanding to 3.62 km2(129%larger than free outflow).Graded sluice operation provided measurable peak-reduction benefits in the 200-year tide scenario:compared with directly imposing tide levels as the downstream boundary,the maximum inundation depth decreased by 20.7%-26.2%,the total inundation area was reduced from 3.62 km2 to 3.0 km2(a 17.1%reduction),and the high-risk zone area decreased by 13.5%,although improvements in overflow duration and system-wide surcharge conditions remained limited.Overall,downstream tide levels are confirmed as a dominant external amplifier of pluvial waterlogging in coastal river-network cities,and tide-aware sluice operation provides a practical avenue for peak reduction and disaster mitigation under extreme compound conditions.The proposed design-tide-to-model workflow supports tide-aware drainage assessments,sluice operation designs,and compound flood risk management in similar coastal urban settings.
潘骆颖;陈晓宏;张瓅丹;孙伊贝
中山大学 土木工程学院//南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海),广东 珠海 519082中山大学 土木工程学院//南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海),广东 珠海 519082||广东省华南地区水安全调控工程技术研究中心,广州 510275||华南地区水循环与水安全广东普通高校重点实验室,广州 510275中山大学 土木工程学院//南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海),广东 珠海 519082中山大学 土木工程学院//南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海),广东 珠海 519082
建筑与水利
潮位顶托河网区内涝模拟"降雨-潮位-闸控"情景SWMM-LISFLOOD-FP耦合模型最大熵算法珠海市
tidal backwaterriver-network regionurban waterlogging simulation"rainfall-tide level-gate regulation"scenariosSWMM-LISFLOOD-FP coupled modelmaximum entropy methodZhuhai
《热带地理》 2026 (3)
458-470,13
国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFC3001000)国家自然科学基金项目(U1911204)珠海市洪潮涝遭遇水情监测预报与群闸排涝优化调度研究(SML2023SP213)
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