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城市雨-洪-涝复合灾害成因及防控关键理论方法研究思路OA

Causes and Theoretical Framework for the Prevention and Control of Urban Rainstorm-Flood Compound Disasters

中文摘要英文摘要

气候变化和快速城市化背景下,近些年发生的城市暴雨洪涝事件大多呈雨-洪-涝复合灾害形态,其风险传递快、预报难、灾情重并缺乏相应的防御标准.对此,文章提出了城市雨-洪-涝复合灾害研究需要解决的关键科学问题,包括城市雨-洪-涝复合灾害形成机理与快速预警的耦合集成预报方法、城市雨-洪-涝遭遇组合概率与复合灾害重现期及防御标准、城市雨-洪-涝复合灾害风险传递叠加原理与快速诊断抑制机制;同时提出了以科学问题为导向的研究内容和研究技术路线.文章认为,充分解决城市雨洪涝复合灾害早期预警、风险快速诊断与及时抑制应对等难题,是城市复合水灾害防控的关键.

Along with climate change and rapid urbanization,recent urban rainstorm flood events have been presented as compound disasters characterized by rainfall-flood-urban inundation coupling,featuring rapid risk transmission,difficult forecasting,severe disaster situations,and a lack of defense standards.This study identified key scientific issues that need to be addressed in the study of urban rainstorm-flood compound disasters,including coupled integrated forecasting and rapid early warning methods based on the formation mechanism of urban rainstorm-flood compound disasters,the combination probability of urban rainstorm floods encountering each other,the return period and defense standard of compound disasters,the principle of risk transmission superposition,and the rapid diagnosis and suppression mechanism of urban rainstorm-flood compound disasters.Research content and technical routes oriented towards scientific problems were proposed.It is believed that solving the challenges of early warning for urban rainstorm-flood compound disasters,rapid risk diagnosis,and rapid suppression responses are crucial for the prevention and control of urban compound water disasters.

陈晓宏;胡茂川;刘智勇

中山大学 土木工程学院//南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海),广东 珠海 519082||广东省华南地区水安全调控工程技术研究中心,广州 510275||华南地区水循环与水安全广东普通高校重点实验室,广州 510275中山大学 土木工程学院//南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海),广东 珠海 519082||广东省华南地区水安全调控工程技术研究中心,广州 510275||华南地区水循环与水安全广东普通高校重点实验室,广州 510275中山大学 土木工程学院//南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海),广东 珠海 519082||广东省华南地区水安全调控工程技术研究中心,广州 510275||华南地区水循环与水安全广东普通高校重点实验室,广州 510275

建筑与水利

雨洪涝复合灾害成因复合灾害防御标准风险早期预警与抑制研究思路

causes of rainstorms and flood-compound disastersdefense standards for compound disastersearly warning and suppression of risksresearch ideas

《热带地理》 2026 (3)

403-408,6

国家自然科学基金联合基金重点项目(U25A20356)珠海市洪潮涝遭遇水情监测预报与群闸排涝优化调度研究项目(SML2024SP014)

10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.20261502

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