四川省高质量发展水平综合测度与时空变化OA
Comprehensive Measurement and Spatiotemporal Change Analysis of High-quality Development Level in Sichuan Province
本文以四川省的 18 个地级市为研究对象,构建一套综合评价指标体系,评估这些地级市在经济发展、创新发展、生态质量、社会公平以及绿色转型五个维度上的高质量发展水平.采用CRITIC法分别计算四川省 2011、2014、2017和 2020 年的高质量发展水平综合评价指数并排名,利用ArcGIS绘制其市域高质量发展水平等级分布图,揭示其高质量发展水平的时空变化规律,利用泰尔指数法进行高质量发展水平地区差异分析,采用灰色关联分析法进行其高质量发展的影响因素分析.结果表明:(1)2011-2020 年四川省高质量发展水平总体呈上升态势,其高质量发展水平的变化幅度和各地级市之间的发展差距总体在缩小,成都市排名一直处于第一位.(2)四川省近十年来的高质量发展水平呈现出"两头小中间大"的趋势,只有成都市一直处于第一级别,绵阳市一直处于第二级别,处于第三、四级别的城市较多,第五级别的城市较少.区域内差异贡献率显著超过区域间差异贡献率,这表明四川省总差异的主要根源在于各区域内部的差异.其中,成都平原经济区在高质量发展水平方面展现出最大的差异及贡献率,其次是川东北经济区,而川南经济区的差异及贡献率则相对较小.(3)2011-2020 年准则层各指标对四川省高质量发展水平影响排列顺序如下:生态质量>绿色转型>经济发展>社会公平>创新发展,说明生态质量和绿色转型是影响四川省各地级市高质量发展水平的主要因素.本研究结果为制定四川省高质量发展战略提供参考依据.
Centered around 18 prefecture-level cities in Sichuan Province,we devised a comprehensive evaluation in-dex system to gauge the level of high-quality development,encompassing five crucial dimensions:economic develop-ment,technological innovation,ecological quality,social equity,and green transformation.Leveraging the CRITIC method,we computed and ranked the comprehensive evaluation index of high-quality development in Sichuan Province for the years 2011,2014,2017,and 2020.Subsequently,ArcGIS was used to draw the distribution map of the city's high-quality development level,and the spatiotemporal variation law of its high-quality development level was revealed,furthermore,Theil index method was used to analyze the regional differences of high-quality develop-ment level,and the gray correlation analysis method was used to analyze the influencing factors of high-quality de-velopment Our findings indicate:(1)Between 2011 and 2020,Sichuan Province saw a steady upward trend in its high-quality development performance.Notably,the variations in its high-quality development level and the disparities among prefecture-level cities gradually diminished,with Chengdu consistently leading the pack.The contribution stem-ming from intra-regional differences outweighed those from inter-regional differences,suggesting that the primary source of overall differences in Sichuan lay within its regions.Specifically,the Chengdu Plain Economic Zone exhibit-ed the most significant disparities and contribution to high-quality development,trailed by the Northeast Sichuan E-conomic Zone,while the South Sichuan Economic Zone displayed relatively minor variations and contributions.(2)Over the last decade,the high-quality development level of Sichuan Province has adhered to a pattern of"low at both ends and high in the middle."Only Chengdu maintains a top-tier status,while Mianyang remains in the second tier.Cities in the third and fourth tiers are more prevalent,while those in the fifth tier are scarce.(3)From 2011 to 2020,the influence of criteria-level indicators on Sichuan's high-quality development level is ranked as follows:eco-logical quality,green transformation,economic development,social equity,and innovative development.This under-scores that ecological quality and green transformation are the key factors shaping the high-quality development of prefecture-level cities in Sichuan.The findings of this study serve as a valuable reference for devising Sichuan's high-quality development strategy.
张颖;张彬;吴小婷
内江师范学院地理与测绘科学学院 四川,内江 641100内江师范学院地理与测绘科学学院 四川,内江 641100||长江上游生态环境数据分析与绿色发展智能决策重点实验室 四川,内江 641100内江师范学院地理与测绘科学学院 四川,内江 641100
管理科学
高质量发展时空变化CRITIC法泰尔指数灰色关联四川省
high-quality developmentspatio-temporal variationCRITICTheil indexgrey associationsSichuan Province
《现代农业研究》 2026 (2)
27-36,10
四川省社会科学重点研究基地"沱江流域高质量发展研究中心"资助项目(项目编号:TJGZL2021-11)农村土地利用监测与评价重点实验室2025年度立项课题(项目编号:NDZDS202505)乡村振兴背景下四川省农村土地利用碳排放时空分异及多情景模拟研究省级大学生创新创业项目(项目编号:X2023035)
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