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新质生产力对黄河流域新型城镇化的影响研究OA

Research on the Impact of New Quality Productivity on the New-type Urbanization in the Yellow River Basin

中文摘要英文摘要

黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展是重大国家战略,新型城镇化作为流域高质量发展的核心载体,亟需新质生产力破解其面临的生态约束、产业失衡与区域不均等难题.本文基于 2011-2022 年黄河流域 99 个地级市的面板数据,系统考察新质生产力对黄河流域新型城镇化的影响效应、作用机制及区域异质性.结果表明:新质生产力对黄河流域新型城镇化具有正向影响,该结论经稳健性检验与内生性处理后依然成立,且其作用效果具有城市规模和区域异质性,在小城市和中游地区表现更强,呈现中游>下游>上游的区域梯度特征;机制分析显示,产业结构升级是新质生产力影响流域新型城镇化的重要作用机制;门槛检验发现,新质生产力对新型城镇化的推动作用因城镇化率的不同而呈现阶段性特征.

The ecological protection and high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin is a major national strategy.As the core carrier of high-quality development in the basin,the new type of urbanization urgently needs new quality pro-ductivity to solve the problems of ecological constraints,industrial imbalance and regional inequality it faces.Based on the panel data of 99 prefecture-level cities in the Yellow River Basin from 2011 to 2022,this paper systematically examines the impact effect,mechanism and regional heterogeneity of new quality productivity on the new type of urbanization in the Yellow River Basin.The results show that new quality productivity has a positive impact on the new type of urbanization in the Yellow River Basin.This conclusion remains valid after robustness tests and endogeneity treatments,and its effect has urban scale and regional heterogeneity,being more significant in small cities and the middle reaches.The mechanism analysis shows that industrial structure upgrading is the key transmission path for new quality productivity to drive the new type of urbanization in the basin.The threshold test reveals that the promoting effect of new quality productivity on the new type of urbanization shows phased characteristics due to the different urbanization rates.

刘旭挺;李玉贝

兰州市社会科学院 甘肃,兰州 730030兰州市社会科学院 甘肃,兰州 730030

管理科学

新质生产力黄河流域新型城镇化产业结构升级

new-quality productivityYellow River basinnew-type urbanizationindustrial structure upgrading

《现代农业研究》 2026 (2)

20-26,7

国家社科基金项目"荒漠化治理模式的演变及优化路径研究"(项目编号:25XSH014)甘肃省人文社会科学项目"甘肃省以县城为主要载体的新型城镇化建设研究"(项目编号:24ZZ44).

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