人工智能驱动的数字智库转型:核心特征、体系架构与关键技术OA
The Transformation of AI-Driven Digital Think Tanks:Core Characteristics,Architectural Framework,and Key Technologies
[研究目的]本文系统地阐释了人工智能驱动下数字智库的核心特征、体系架构与关键技术,为构建具有中国特色的新型数字智库提供理论参考与实践路径.[研究方法]基于数字孪生理论框架,采用系统分析方法,本文首先界定了数字智库为物理智库与虚拟智库深度融合的智能认知系统;其次,辨析了其虚实融合、多层级、多领域和跨时间尺度的核心特征,并构建了"物理层—连接层—孪生层—功能层—服务层"五层体系架构;最后,重点剖析了基于Transformer的政策文本分析、多智能体模拟推演、跨模态知识融合、自动化报告生成等关键支撑技术的实现机理与应用场景.[研究结论]人工智能正推动数字智库从信息化向智能化跃迁,其核心能力体现为自感知、自学习、自诊断、自决策、自演化;数字智库发展需经历交互、融合、共生、共智四个阶段.由此可见,我国数字智库应围绕构建智能技术平台体系、加强数据与知识治理、推动人机协同创新及建立持续演化机制等四大战略路径系统推进.
[Research purpose]This paper aims to systematically elucidate the core characteristics,architectural frameworks,and key technologies of AI-driven digital think tanks,providing theoretical insights and practical pathways for developing AI-driven digital think tanks with Chinese characteristics.[Research method]Drawing on digital twin theory and employing systematic analysis,this paper first defines digital think tanks as intelligent cognitive systems characterized by the deep integration of physical and virtual think tanks.Then,it identifies four core characteristics,including cyber-physical integration,multi-layered structure,cross-domain attributes,and cross-temporal capabilities,and constructs a five-tier architecture consisting of the physical layer,the connection layer,the twin layer,the functional layer,and the service layer.Finally,it analyzes the implementation mechanisms and application scenarios of four key enabling technologies:Transformer-based policy text analysis,multi-agent simulation and deduction,cross-modal knowledge fusion,and automated report generation.[Research conclusion]Our findings indicate that AI is propelling digital think tanks from informatization to intelligentization,with their core capabilities manifested as self-perception,self-learning,self-diagnosis,self-decision-making,and self-evolution.The development of digital think tanks evolves through four stages:interaction,integration,symbiosis,and co-intelligence.Based on these insights,this paper proposes four strategic pathways for China's digital think tanks development:building intelligent technology platforms,strengthening data and knowledge governance,promoting human-machine collaborative innovation,and establishing continuous evolutionary mechanisms.
杨凯越
中国国际工程咨询有限公司,北京,100089
社会科学
数字智库人工智能国际比较知识图谱智能决策数字化转型
digital think tankartificial intelligenceinternational comparisonknowledge graphintelligent decision-makingdigital transformation
《科技智囊》 2026 (2)
76-84,9
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