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2010-2023年南太行土地利用与生态风险时空演化分析OA

Spatio-temporal evolution analysis of land use and ecological risk in southern Taihang Mountains from 2010 to 2023

中文摘要英文摘要

南太行作为华北平原关键生态屏障区,其土地利用变化对区域生态安全和协调发展具有重要影响.采用土地利用动态度、土地利用转移矩阵等方法分析南太行土地利用时空变化特征,以5 km×5 km格网构建生态风险评价单元,结合景观脆弱度、干扰度及损失度指数建立生态风险评价体系并分析其时空演化特征,运用Moran's I指数分析空间自相关性.结果显示:2010-2023年南太行地区主要表现为生态用地向建设用地的结构性转化.建设用地总转入面积为984.61 km2,其中农田转入面积达到940.63 km2,占总转入面积的95.53%;同时,农田受到森林、草原和水域的补充,但面积规模小,远低于转出,呈现净减少态势.生态风险整体呈"高风险区缩减、中高风险区扩张"格局,其中"高-高"风险集聚区主要位于中东部平原—丘陵过渡区,该区域受人类活动干扰频繁,表现出连片扩散态势,"低-低"风险区稳定分布在西部森林及灌木覆盖良好的山区.

As a critical ecological barrier zone in the North China Plain,the land use changes in the southern Taihang Mountains have significant impacts on regional ecological security and coordinated development.Using methods such as the land use dynamic degree and land use transfer matrix,this study analyzed the spatiotemporal characteristics of land use changes in the southern Taihang Mountains.A 5 km×5 km grid was employed to establish ecological risk assessment units,and an ecological risk evaluation system was con-structed by integrating landscape vulnerability,disturbance,and loss indices to analyze its spatiotemporal evolution.Moran's I index was used to examine spatial autocorrelation.The results show that from 2010 to 2023,the southern Taihang Mountains region primarily exhibited a structural transformation of ecological land into construction land.The total area converted to construction land was 984.61 km²,of which farmland conversion accounted for 940.63 km²,representing 95.53%of the total conversion.Meanwhile,farmland was supplemented by forests,grasslands,and water bodies,but the scale of such replenishment was small and far below the converted area,resulting in a net reduction trend.Overall,ecological risk displayed a pattern of"high-risk areas shrinking and medium-high-risk areas expanding".The"high-high"risk clusters were mainly concentrated in the transitional zone between the central-eastern plains and hills,where frequent human disturbances led to contiguous diffusion.In contrast,"low-low"risk areas remained stably distributed in the forested and well-shrub-covered mountainous regions of the west.

翟雅倩;沈蕊;张玉婉

河南财经政法大学 城乡规划学院,河南 郑州 450046河南财经政法大学 城乡规划学院,河南 郑州 450046河南财经政法大学 城乡规划学院,河南 郑州 450046

管理科学

南太行土地利用生态风险空间自相关

Southern Taihang Mountainsland useecological riskspatial correlation

《河南城建学院学报》 2026 (1)

45-54,10

河南省自然科学基金青年基金项目(252300423286)教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(23YJC630177)河南财经政法大学校级国家一般项目培育项目(22HNCDXJ19)

10.14140/j.cnki.hncjxb.2026.01.007

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