华北地区CO2利用技术适用性综合评价OA
Multi-criteria suitability assessment of CO2 utilization technologies in North China
CO2 利用技术是实现工业部门碳减排与应对气候变化的重要手段,但不同技术的成熟度及其对上下游的要求不同,在应用时减碳效益、经济性等存在显著差异,因此准确评估CO2 利用技术的区域适用性至关重要.本研究采用层次分析法(AHP)与逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS)相结合的多准则决策分析方法,构建涵盖技术特性、区域契合度、碳减排效应、经济效益和社会效应的综合评价体系,并根据技术特征和区域特征对指标进行权重赋值,进而确定技术适用的优先序.研究结果表明,CO2 加氢制甲醇在河北、山东和山西等产业基础雄厚、工业副产资源丰富地区的区域适用性较高,经济效益与减排潜力明显,适宜优先推广;而CO2 光电催化转化、钢渣矿化及微藻生物利用等技术,由于技术成熟度和经济效益较低,短期内难以规模化应用,但长期发展潜力值得持续关注.此外,区域政策环境对CO2 利用技术的实际部署具有关键性的影响:北京市适合开展小规模研发示范;天津适合稳步推进试点示范;河北、山东和山西则政策支持力度强,更利于产业化示范与规模化推广.因此,各地区应结合自身产业结构、资源禀赋与政策导向,制定差异化的技术布局与推广策略.该研究成果不仅为华北地区低碳技术的选择提供决策支持,也为其他高排放区域开展类似研究决策提供方法借鉴.
CO2 utilization technologies represent a key pathway for achieving industrial carbon emission reduction and addressing climate change.However,substantial variations in technology maturity,infrastructure compatibility,and downstream requirements result in significant regional disparities in both carbon mitigation effectiveness and economic viability.This study established a multi-criteria decision-making framework through integrating the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)and the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution(TOPSIS).The proposed evaluation system encompassed five dimensions:Technological readiness,regional suitability,emission reduction capacity,economic feasibility,and social acceptability.Indicator weights were determined through the combined consideration of technology-specific parameters and regional contextual factors to prioritize CO2 utilization pathways.Results demonstrated that CO2 hydrogenation to methanol exhibited high regional applicability in provinces with robust industrial clusters and abundant by-product H2 resources,exemplified by Hebei,Shandong,and Shanxi.This pathway achieved optimal balance between economic returns and emission reduction performance,meriting prioritized deployment.In contrast,emerging technologies including CO2 photoelectrochemical conversion,steel slag mineralization,and microalgae-based CO2 utilization faced technical immaturity and suboptimal cost-benefit ratios,constraining their near-term scalability despite their long-term potential.Regional policy ecosystems were identified as critical determinants of technology implementation.While Beijing demonstrated suitability for small-scale R&D demonstrations,Tianjin provided appropriate conditions for pilot project implementation.Hebei,Shandong,and Shanxi leverage enhanced policy support and industrial capacity to facilitate large-scale demonstrations.Consequently,region-specific deployment strategies must align with local industrial configurations,resource availability,and policy frameworks.This research provided both a decision-support tool for low-carbon technology selection in North China and a transferable methodology for analogous assessments in other carbon-intensive regions.
孟思旭;刘双;宋学行;尚丽;沈群;徐苏云;孙楠楠
上海理工大学环境与建筑学院,上海 200093||中国科学院上海高等研究院,中国科学院低碳转化科学与工程重点实验室,上海 201210中国科学院上海高等研究院,中国科学院低碳转化科学与工程重点实验室,上海 201210上海理工大学环境与建筑学院,上海 200093||中国科学院上海高等研究院,中国科学院低碳转化科学与工程重点实验室,上海 201210中国科学院上海高等研究院,中国科学院低碳转化科学与工程重点实验室,上海 201210中国科学院上海高等研究院,中国科学院低碳转化科学与工程重点实验室,上海 201210上海理工大学环境与建筑学院,上海 200093中国科学院上海高等研究院,中国科学院低碳转化科学与工程重点实验室,上海 201210
资源环境
二氧化碳利用技术区域适用性多准则决策方法华北地区碳减排潜力
CO2 utilization technologiesregional suitabilitymulti-criteria decision-makingNorth Chinacarbon mitigation capacity
《环境工程学报》 2026 (1)
140-149,10
国家重点研发计划资助项目(2022YFE0115800)
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