综合负样本优化指数与CNN-LSTM-ATT模型的滑坡易发性评价OA
Integration of negative sample optimization index and CNN-LSTM-ATT model for landslide susceptibility assessment
针对滑坡易发性建模过程中随机抽取的非滑坡样本不确定性高、机器学习模型预测精度有限的问题,提出一种基于负样本优化指数(negative sample optimization index,NSI)的非滑坡样本采样策略,并融合卷积神经网络(convolutional neural network,CNN)、长短时记忆(long short-term memory,LSTM)网络和注意力机制(attention mechanism,ATT)构建CNN-LSTM-ATT深度神经网络开展易发性评价.以陕西省北部黄土高原地区的绥德县义合镇为例,首先,选取高程、坡度、地层岩性等14个孕灾因子建立评价指标体系;其次,引入Matthews相关系数为随机森林(random forest,RF)、逻辑回归(logistic regression,LR)和支持向量机(support vector machine,SVM)3种基模型分配权重,并计算NSI值;然后,基于NSI选取非滑坡样本,并与滑坡样本组成训练数据集;最后,利用CNN-LSTM-ATT模型预测滑坡空间概率,通过SHAP值分析揭示各因子的重要程度.结果表明:NSI通过约束采样空间获得了质量更高的非滑坡样本,规避了因过度偏激的负样本所造成的预测误差,模型精度最大提升7%;相较于单一模型,集成多层复杂结构的CNN-LSTM-ATT模型具有更好的分类能力,预测精度达0.925;坡度、高程和距房屋距离是研究区易发性建模的关键因子.研究提出的采样策略和评价模型有助于提高滑坡灾害空间预测的精度.
Traditional random sampling of non-landslide introduces high uncertainty with low accuracy during landslide susceptibility assessment.Moreover,computational models often struggle to effectively process multidimensional data and improve prediction accuracy.To address these challenges,this study proposes the negative sample optimization index(NSI)to enhance the selection strategy for non-landslide samples and employs a deep neural network model integrating attention mechanism(ATT),convolutional neural network(CNN),and long short-term memory(LSTM)for landslide susceptibility assessment in Yihe Town,Suide County,located in the Loess Plateau of Shaanxi Province.Firstly,a total of fourteen landslide influencing factors were considered as the input variables to estimate the probability of landslide occurrence.The NSI was calculated by weighting,summing,and normalizing the outputs of three machine learning base models according to their Matthews correlation coefficient(MCC)scores.Then,the NSI and historical landslide records were used to construct the model training database.Finally,the CNN-LSTM-ATT model was applied for landslide susceptibility assessment,with factor importance analyzed using Shapley additive explanations(SHAP).The results indicate that NSI improves the quality of non-landslide samples by constraining the sampling space,thereby mitigating prediction errors induced by excessively biased negative samples,with the model accuracy increasing by up to 7%.Meanwhile,compared to individual models,the CNN-LSTM-ATT model,which integrates multiple complex layers,demonstrates a high performance up to 0.925.Additionally,slope,elevation,and distance to buildings are the key factors influencing the landslide susceptibility mapping in the study area.The proposed sampling strategy and CNN-LSTM-ATT model provide valuable technical support for the spatial prediction of landslides in the Loess Plateau region.
曹琰波;移康军;梁鑫;荆海宇;孙颢宸;张越轩;刘思缘;范文
长安大学地质工程与测绘学院,陕西 西安 710054||地质灾害成因机理与风险防控陕西省高等学校重点实验室,陕西 西安 710054||陕西省水工环地质调查中心,陕西 西安 710068长安大学地质工程与测绘学院,陕西 西安 710054长安大学地质工程与测绘学院,陕西 西安 710054||地质灾害成因机理与风险防控陕西省高等学校重点实验室,陕西 西安 710054长安大学地质工程与测绘学院,陕西 西安 710054长安大学地质工程与测绘学院,陕西 西安 710054长安大学地质工程与测绘学院,陕西 西安 710054长安大学地质工程与测绘学院,陕西 西安 710054长安大学地质工程与测绘学院,陕西 西安 710054||地质灾害成因机理与风险防控陕西省高等学校重点实验室,陕西 西安 710054
资源环境
滑坡灾害易发性负样本优化指数(NSI)卷积神经网络(CNN)长短时记忆(LSTM)网络注意力机制(ATT)
landslidelandslide susceptibilitynegative sample optimization index(NSI)convolutional neural network(CNN)long short-term memory(LSTM)networkattention mechanism(ATT)
《安全与环境工程》 2026 (1)
69-85,17
国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3003401)陕西省自然科学基础研究计划项目(2025JC-YBQN-336)中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(300102265104)2023年长安大学教育教学改革研究项目(ZY202364)
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