京津冀物流业碳排放与经济增长的脱钩状态及驱动因素OA

To investigate the decoupling status and driving mechanism between carbon emissions and economic growth in the logistics industry of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,this study selected the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei logistics industry as the research subject.A Tapio decoupling model of carbon emissions was established to assess the decoupling status between carbon emissions and economic growth in the logistics industry of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2005 to 2022.Subsequently,the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index(LMDI)approach was employed to decompose the key drivers behind carbon emission decoupling,categorizing them into six factors:energy structure,energy consumption intensity,logistics efficiency,transportation intensity,economic growth,and population size effect.The results indicate that:①over the study period,carbon emissions within the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei logistics industry increased steadily,accompanied by pronounced regional disparities;②weak decoupling characterized the relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth in the logistics industry of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region;while emissions grew at a slower pace than the economy,full decoupling remained elusive,indicating persistent reliance on carbon-intensive development;③The energy structure,logistics efficiency,and economic growth factors significantly propelled the decoupling process.Therefore,to facilitate the achievement of the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals,the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region needs to further optimize its energy consumption structure,build a multi-dimensional driven energy transformation ecosystem,deepen the coordinated layout of industry-population-logistics,and promote the green transformation of the logistics industry.