基于特征提取与MLSSVR的电力系统动态频率预测OA
Dynamic Frequency Prediction of Power System Based on Feature Extraction and MLSSVR
针对最大信息系数计算与传统支持向量机进行电力系统动态频率预测时计算或训练时间过长、精度较低、模型泛化性能较差等问题,通过改进最大信息系数计算的网格划分方法,并改造原有SVR模型的不等式约束条件以及模型损失函数,提出基于统计信息系数与多输出最小二乘支持向量机(multi-output least squares support vector regreesion,MLSSVR)的频率响应曲线预测模型,实现对电力系统动态频率的特征提取、整体输出与链式预测,从而提升原有机器学习模型速度、精度和准确性.利用灰狼优化算法对MLSSVR算法中的核函数宽度以及惩罚因子进行寻优以提高模型综合性能.基于IEEE16机68节点的仿真实验证明,相较SVR算法及其他机器学习模型,本文所提模型的准确度、精度与训练预测速度均有提升,模型性能更强.
In order to solve the problems such as too long computation or training time,low precision and poor model generalization performance when calculating the maximum information coefficient and traditional support vector machine are used to predict the dynamic frequency of power system,the mesh partitioning method of calculating the maximum information coefficient is improved,and the inequality constraint conditions and model loss function of the original SVR model are modified.A frequency response curve prediction model based on statistical information coefficient and multi-output least squares support vector machine(MLSSVR)is proposed to realize feature extraction,global output and chain prediction of dynamic frequency of power system,so as to improve the accuracy,accuracy and speed of the original machine learning model.Grey wolf optimization algorithm was used to optimize kernel function width and penalty factor in MLSSVR algorithm to improve the comprehensive performance of the model.Simulation experiments on 68 nodes of IEEE16 show that compared with SVR algorithm and other machine learning models,the accuracy,precision and training prediction speed of the proposed model are improved,and the model performance is stronger.
牛燕;谢家康;田世芳;熊洁
国网鄂州供电公司,湖北 鄂州 436000国网鄂州供电公司,湖北 鄂州 436000国网咸宁供电公司,湖北 咸宁 437000国网鄂州供电公司,湖北 鄂州 436000
能源科技
电力系统频率响应预测统计信息系数多输出最小二乘支持向量机灰狼优化算法
power systemfrequency response predictionstatistical information coefficientmulti-output least squares support vector regressiongrey wolf optimization algorithm
《电力勘测设计》 2026 (2)
8-14,34,8
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