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基于Log-Median方法的协方差矩阵估计方法及应用OACHSSCD

Covariance Matrix Estimation Method Based on Log-Median Method and Its Applications

中文摘要英文摘要

在数据分析和统计建模研究中,协方差矩阵估计的精确性至关重要.然而,传统的估计方法在面对数据模型的异常值干扰或分布偏斜时,估计结果往往不够精确.为此,文章提出了一种新的协方差矩阵估计方法——Log-Median方法.该方法首先构建协方差矩阵的负对数似然函数;其次,结合线性回归模型对特征值中位数进行估计;最后,通过引入惩罚项将协方差矩阵估计中的异常特征值正则化至特征值中位数,实现了对协方差矩阵的稳健估计.6个数据模型的仿真模拟以及针对股票数据和分类数据的实证分析结果均表明,Log-Median方法在各种数据环境下均表现出优越的性能,提高了协方差矩阵估计结果的准确性和稳健性.

In the field of data analysis and statistical modeling,the accuracy of covariance matrix estimation is of vital impor-tance.However,traditional estimation methods often fail to provide accurate estimation results when confronted with outliers inter-fering with data models or distribution skewness.In order to address the above problem,this paper proposes a novel covariance matrix estimation method—Log-Median method.This method initially constructs the negative log-likelihood function of the cova-riance matrix,and then estimates the median of eigenvalues by incorporating a linear regression model.Finally,it introduces a penalty term to regularize the abnormal eigenvalues in the covariance matrix estimation towards the median of eigenvalues,achiev-ing stability in covariance matrix estimation.Both simulation studies of six data models and empirical analysis of stock data and categorical data demonstrate that the Log-Median method exhibits excellent performance under various data environments,en-hancing the accuracy and robustness of covariance matrix estimation results.

吴雪柔;赵寿为

上海工程技术大学 数理与统计学院,上海 201620上海工程技术大学 数理与统计学院,上海 201620

数理科学

协方差矩阵估计负对数似然函数特征值中位数惩罚项

covariance matrix estimationnegative log-likelihood functionmedian of eigenvaluespenalty term

《统计与决策》 2026 (3)

59-65,7

10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2026.03.010

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