基于三维扩散过程模型的碳核算方法研究OACHSSCD
Research on Carbon Accounting Methods Based on Three-dimensional Diffusion Process Model
碳核算是实现碳达峰碳中和的有力支撑,碳分子扩散模型是开展碳核算的重要工具.文章以排放源为原点建立三维笛卡尔空间直角坐标系,将碳分子的运动过程按空间直角坐标系中的三个方向进行分解,导入三维方向初速度、加速度和扩散系数,基于布朗运动构建了碳分子在大气空间的扩散模型.研究发现,碳分子落于近地面停滞时具有三种状态:当处于吸收状态时,碳分子将处于不可测状态;当处于漂浮状态时,碳分子在近地面漂浮;当处于半吸收状态时,碳分子分别有50%的概率被吸收或悬浮.基于检测区域的海拔高度和地形状态,通过数据模拟最终得到固定时间区间内落于检测区域的碳分子样本数量和样本总量,据此实现模型参数的确定.最后,基于该模型演示了基于钢铁厂附近局部的碳累积样本倒推碳排放量的碳核算过程.
Carbon accounting is a powerful support for achieving carbon peak and carbon neutrality,and the carbon molecule diffusion model is an important tool to carry out carbon accounting.This paper establishes a three-dimensional Cartesian spatial coordinate system with the emission source as the origin,then decomposes the motion process of carbon molecules in three direc-tions in the spatial Cartesian coordinate system,and finally imports the initial velocity,acceleration and diffusion coefficient in the three-dimensional direction,and also constructs a diffusion model of carbon molecules in the atmospheric space based on the Brownian motion.The research findings are shown as below:The carbon molecules are in three states when they stagnate near the ground:Carbon molecules are in an undetectable state when they are in the absorbing state;when in a floating state,carbon mole-cules float near the ground;when in a semi-absorptive state,carbon molecules have a 50%probability of being absorbed or sus-pended respectively.Based on the altitude of the detection area and the terrain state,the number of carbon molecules samples fall-ing into the detection area in a fixed time interval and the total number of samples are finally derived through data simulation,ac-cording to which the determination of the model parameters is achieved.Based on the model,this paper demonstrates the carbon accounting process of inverting carbon emissions with localized carbon accumulation samples near the steel mill.
刘悦;施佳仪;张轩愷
江苏大学 财经学院,江苏 镇江 212013江苏大学 财经学院,江苏 镇江 212013江苏大学 财经学院,江苏 镇江 212013||华中科技大学 管理学院,武汉 430074
资源环境
碳核算碳分子扩散
carbon accountingcarbon moleculediffusion
《统计与决策》 2026 (2)
18-23,6
国家自然科学基金青年项目(72004082)国家社会科学基金重大项目(22&ZD136)国家社会科学基金后期资助项目(22FGLB030)江苏省碳达峰碳中和科技创新专项(BE2022610)
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