基于改进天牛群优化ESN的海上风机叶片腐蚀速率预测OA
Corrosion Rate Prediction of Offshore Wind Turbine Blade Based on ESN Optimized by BSO
随着海上风电的迅速发展,风机叶片腐蚀速率预测对于海上风机叶片的日常运维极为重要,然而目前该领域多数研究成果考虑的腐蚀环境较为简单,难以直接应用于不间断运行的风机叶片腐蚀速率预测.为解决这一问题,建立一种结合改进天牛群优化(improved beetle swarm optimization,IBSO)算法和回声状态网络(echo state network,ESN)的海上风机叶片腐蚀速率预测模型(IBSO-ESN).首先,对海上风机叶片腐蚀原理进行分析,确认主要腐蚀因素,尤其是考虑盐雾因素,并将主要腐蚀因素作为模型输入.其次,针对天牛群优化(beetle swarm optimization,BSO)算法存在的种群多样性低、易陷入局部最优问题,提出一种融合差分进化算法的IBSO算法,并利用其对ESN进行参数寻优.最后,应用参数最优ESN对海上风机叶片腐蚀速率进行预测.结果表明,该模型对于海上风机叶片前缘的均方根误差(root mean square error,RMSE)、平均绝对百分比误差(mean absolute percentage error,MAPE)分别为0.188、1.526%,叶尖区域的RMSE、MAPE分别为0.177 9、1.311%,均远低于对比模型,能够为海上风机叶片腐蚀防护工作提供决策支持.
With the rapid development of offshore wind power,turbine blade corrosion rate prediction is extremely important for the daily operation and maintenance of offshore turbine blades.However,most existing studies in this field consider relatively simplistic corrosion environments,making them difficult to apply directly to the continuous operation of wind turbine blades.To solve this problem,a corrosion rate prediction model for offshore wind turbine blades is established based on the echo state network(ESN)optimized by improved beetle swarm optimization.Firstly,the corrosion principles of offshore turbine blades are analyzed,and the main corrosion factors are identified and used as model inputs.Second,to overcome the limitations of the beetle swarm optimization(BSO),including low population diversity and susceptibility to local optima,BSO incorporating differential evolution is developed to optimize the parameters of the ESN Finally,the parameter optimal ESN is applied to predict the corrosion rate of offshore wind turbine blades.The results show that the RMSE and MAPE values of the model for the leading edge and tip regions of offshore wind turbine blades are 0.188,1.526%,and 0.177 9,1.311%,respectively,which are much lower than those of the comparison model.These findings indicate that the proposed model can provide decision-making support for the corrosion protection of offshore wind turbine blades.
舒征宇;黄启昀;张紫格;任冠臣;鲍刚
三峡大学电气与新能源学院,湖北 宜昌 443000三峡大学电气与新能源学院,湖北 宜昌 443000三峡大学电气与新能源学院,湖北 宜昌 443000三峡大学电气与新能源学院,湖北 宜昌 443000三峡大学电气与新能源学院,湖北 宜昌 443000
信息技术与安全科学
海上风机叶片腐蚀防护速率预测天牛群优化回声状态网络
offshore wind turbine bladescorrosion protectionrate predictionbacterial swarm optimizationecho state network
《山东电力技术》 2026 (1)
66-74,9
国家自然科学基金项目(62476153).National Natural Science Foundation of China(62476153).
评论