首页|期刊导航|华北水利水电大学学报(自然科学版)|1960-2022年洞庭湖流域气温和降水时空演变特征

1960-2022年洞庭湖流域气温和降水时空演变特征OA

Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics of Temperature and Precipitation in Dongting Lake Basin from 1960 to 2022

中文摘要英文摘要

[目的]揭示洞庭湖流域近63 年气温和降水量的趋势性、周期性及时空演变特征,为洞庭湖流域水旱灾害防御工作提供科学依据.[方法]采用Mann-Kendall方法、小波分析法分析了洞庭湖流域及其 4 个主要子流域(澧水、沅江、资江、湘江)气温及降水的趋势性、周期性和空间特征.[结果]①1960-2022 年,4 个子流域年平均气温均呈极显著增加趋势,年平均降水量均呈非显著变化趋势,气温和降水量的年内分配不均匀特征明显.②4 个子流域气温的主周期均为 20 年左右,澧水流域降水周期性与其他 3 个流域的相比差异明显,澧水流域降水的主周期为3 年,而其余 3 个流域降水的主周期均为 24 年左右.③洞庭湖流域气温和降水空间分布及其演变趋势差异明显,气温、降水量均表现为由东南向西北方向降低;洞庭湖流域气温变化整体呈现增加趋势,变化幅度为0.07~0.48℃/(10 年);洞庭湖流域降水量变化趋势空间分布差异较大,变化幅度为-24.34~48.54 mm/(10 年),流域大部分地区降水量变化呈增加趋势,西北部和中南部呈减少趋势.[结论]洞庭湖流域近 63 年来气候变化呈变暖趋势,但变湿趋势不明显.

[Objective]The study aims to reveal the trends,periodicity,and spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of tem-perature and precipitation in the Dongting Lake Basin over the past 63 years,providing a scientific basis for the prevention of flood and drought disasters in the region.[Methods]The Mann-Kendall method and wavelet analysis were used to analyze the trends,periodicity,and spatial characteristics of temperature and precipitation in the Dongting Lake Basin and its four main river sub-basins,Lishui River,Yuanjiang River,Zijiang River,and Xiangjiang River.[Results](1)From 1960 to 2022,the annual average temperature in the four sub-basins showed an extremely significant increasing trend,while the annual average precipitation showed a non-significant variation trend.Both temperature and precipitation were unevenly distributed within the year.(2)The main cycle of temperature in the four sub-basins was about 20 years.The precipitation periodicity in the Lishui sub-basin was significantly different from the other three sub-basins.Its main cycle of precipitation was 3 years,while the other three sub-basins had a main cycle of about 24 years.(3)The spatial distribution and evolution trends of tem-perature and precipitation across the Dongting Lake Basin were distinctly different.Both temperature and precipitation showed a decreasing trend from southeast to northwest.The overall temperature trend showed an increase of 0.07-0.48℃/(10 years).The spatial distribution of precipitation trends in the Dongting Lake Basin featured a greater difference with a range of-24.34-48.54 mm/(10 years).The precipitation in most areas showed an increasing trend,while decreases occurred in the northwestern and central-southern parts.[Conclusion]The climate of the Dongting Lake Basin over the past 63 years has in-dicated a warming trend,but the trend toward increased precipitation is not obvious.

张睿;王乐扬;曾春芬;龙秋波;马昱斐;金君良

重庆师范大学 地理与旅游学院,重庆 401331||水利部应对气候变化研究中心,江苏 南京 210029||南京水利科学研究院 水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京 210029水利部应对气候变化研究中心,江苏 南京 210029||南京水利科学研究院 水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京 210029||河海大学 水安全与水科学协同创新中心,江苏 南京 210098重庆师范大学 地理与旅游学院,重庆 401331湖南省水利水电勘测设计规划研究总院有限公司,湖南 长沙 410007水利部应对气候变化研究中心,江苏 南京 210029||南京水利科学研究院 水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京 210029||河海大学 水安全与水科学协同创新中心,江苏 南京 210098水利部应对气候变化研究中心,江苏 南京 210029||南京水利科学研究院 水灾害防御全国重点实验室,江苏 南京 210029||河海大学 水安全与水科学协同创新中心,江苏 南京 210098

天文与地球科学

气温降水趋势性周期性时空演变洞庭湖流域

temperatureprecipitationtrendperiodicityspatiotemporal evolutionDongting Lake Basin

《华北水利水电大学学报(自然科学版)》 2026 (1)

84-94,11

湖南省水利科技项目(XSKJ2023059-06)"十四五"国家重点研发计划青年科学家项目(2023YFC3081000)国家自然科学基金项目(52121006)洞庭湖防洪及水资源保障工程技术研究中心开放基金(HHPDI-KFKT-202304).

10.19760/j.ncwu.zk.2026010

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