黄河流域资源型城市碳生态安全水平测度及时空分异研究OA
Research on Level Measurement,Spatio-Temporal Differentiation of Carbon Ecological Security in Resource-Based Cities of the Yellow River Basin
为给黄河流域资源型城市碳生态安全与经济高质量发展一体化协同推进提供参考,利用黄河流域 37 个资源型城市 2012-2021 年的面板数据,选用TOPSIS模型与核密度估计模型,评价碳生态安全水平并分析时空分布格局,进一步引入σ收敛模型和β收敛模型揭示其演进特征.研究表明:1)黄河流域资源型城市碳生态安全水平稳步提升,经历了小幅提升—快速上涨的过程,并且中游地区、下游地区资源型城市存在明显的"追赶"效应;2)黄河流域上游地区、下游地区资源型城市碳安全水平差异趋于缩小,但中游地区差异性变化不明显;3)黄河流域资源型城市碳生态安全呈σ收敛和β收敛的演进趋势,在收敛降幅与收敛程度上具有"下游地区高于上游地区、中游地区"的特征.建议:黄河流域不同地区资源型城市应从全局出发,打破行政区划界限、加强区域联动,制定差异化路径、统筹协同推进,强化追赶效应、提升收敛水平,实现全流域碳生态安全平衡.
It is aimed to provide references for the integrated and coordinated advancement of carbon ecological security and high-quality economic development in resource-based cities of the Yellow River Basin.Based on panel data from 37 resource-based cities from 2012 to 2021,the TOPSIS model and the Kernel Density Estimation model were employed to evaluate the carbon ecological security level and ana-lyze its spatio-temporal distribution pattern.The σ and β convergence models were further used to reveal its evolution characteristics.The results show that:a)Carbon ecological security level is increasing in resource-based cities year by year,evolving from a phase of moderate increase to one of rapid growth,and an obvious"catch-up"effect is in resource-based cities of the middle and downstream.b)The differ-ences in carbon security levels are gradually narrowing among resource-based cities in the upstream and downstream,but the differences in the middle reaches are not obvious.c)Carbon ecological security in resource-based cities of the Yellow River Basin shows σ and β conver-gence trend,which has the characteristic of"downstream resource-based cities being higher than upstream and middle reaches"in terms of convergence reduction and convergence degree.It is suggested that resources-based cities in the Yellow River Basin should break adminis-trative boundary constraints from a holistic perspective,enhance regional correlation,develop differentiated paths,plan collaborative pro-motion,strengthen catch-up effects,improve convergence levels,so as to achieve the balance of carbon ecological security across the en-tire basin.
蒋毓琪;杨怡康;田文博
山西大同大学 商学院,山西 大同 037009山西大同大学 商学院,山西 大同 037009山西大同大学 商学院,山西 大同 037009
资源环境
碳生态安全时空分异动态演进黄河流域
carbon ecological securityspatio-temporal differentiationdynamic evolutionYellow River Basin
《人民黄河》 2026 (2)
21-27,7
国家社会科学基金资助项目(20BG173)教育部人文社会科学研究规划青年基金项目(20YJC630052)山西省哲学社会科学规划课题(2023YY250)大同市软科学课题(2023077)
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